NOTE: Some content may not display correctly, including tables and figures. See PDF for full details.
Draft National
Sustainable Energy
Action Plan of Georgia
Contents
List of abbreviations........................................................................................................................... 3
1. Executive Summary....................................................................................................................... 5
2. Introduction.................................................................................................................................. 9
2.1. National Sustainable Energy Action Plan (NSEAP) Objectives.................................................... 9
2.2. Methodology Used in Preparing the Sustainable Energy Action Plan....................................... 10
3. Georgia’s Development Policy and Energy Sector Overview.......................................................... 11
3.1. Georgia 2020: Social-Economic Development Strategy of Georgia.......................................... 13
3.2. Energy Sector Overview........................................................................................................ 15
3.2.1. Electricity Sector...................................................................................................... 16
3.2.2. Natural Gas.............................................................................................................. 22
c) Natural Gas Market Stability.................................................................................................... 25
3.2.3. Oil........................................................................................................................... 26
3.2.4. Coal......................................................................................................................... 27
4. Renewable Energy Potential & Its Utilization................................................................................ 28
5. Legal Framework on Energy......................................................................................................... 31
6. Global Agenda for Sustainable Development and Georgian Path from 2015.................................. 41
7. Overview of National Energy Efficiency Targets & Energy Efficiency Policy Measures..................... 51
7.1 Horizontal measures............................................................................................................... 57
7.2. Energy Efficiency Measures in Buildings.................................................................................. 61
7.3. Energy Efficiency Measures in Public Bodies........................................................................... 62
7.4. Policy Measures Addressing Energy Efficiency in Industry....................................................... 65
7.5. Energy Efficiency Measures in Transport................................................................................. 66
7.6. Energy transformation, transmission, distribution, and demand response............................... 69
8. Overview of National Renewable Energy Targets & Renewable Energy Policy Measures................ 71
9.1. National Overall Target for the Share of Energy from Renewable Sources............................... 71
9.2. Renewable Energy Policy Measures........................................................................................ 71
9. National Sustainable Energy Action Plan Summary (2018-2030)..................................................... 75
10. Conclusions and Recommendations............................................................................................ 79
List of abbreviations
ASECCM | Automated System of Electricity and Capacity Control and Metering |
BAU | Business As Usual |
CCGT | Combined Cycle Gas Turbines |
CO2 | Carbon Dioxide |
COP21 | The 21st session of the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC |
DCFTA | Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area |
DSM | Demand-Side Management |
DSO | Distribution system operator |
EE | Energy Efficient |
EED | Energy Efficiency Directive |
EEO | Energy Efficiency Obligation |
EnPC | Energy Performance Contracting |
EPBD | Energy Performance in Buildings Directive |
ESCO | Electricity System Commercial Operator |
EU | European Union |
EU-GEORGIA AA/DCFTA | EU-GEORGIA Association Agreement / Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Areas |
EUR | Euro |
GDP | Gross Domestic Product |
GEL | Georgian lari |
GHG | Greenhouse Gas |
GWh | Giga watt hour |
GNERC | Georgian National Energy and Water Supply Regulatory Commission |
GSE | Georgian State Electrosystem |
HPP | Hydropower Plant |
HLPF | High-Level Political Forum |
IFI | International Financial Institutions |
INDC | Intended Nationally Determined Contribution |
ktoe | | Kilotons of oil equivalent | |
|
kW | | Kilowatt | |
|
LED | | Light Emitting Diode | |
|
LEDS | Low Emission Development Strategy |
mln. | Million |
MW | Megawatt |
NEAP | National Environmental Action Programme |
NEEAP | National Energy Efficiency Action Plan |
NREAP | National Renewable Energy Action Plan |
PJ | Petajoule - (1015) joules |
RES | Renewable energy sources |
SCADA | Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition System |
SE4ALL-EECAA | Sustainable Energy for All in Eastern Europe, the Caucasus and Central Asia |
SDG | Sustainable Development Goal |
SFM | Sustainable Forest Management |
SME | Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise |
TPES | Total primary energy supply |
TSO | Transmission System Operator |
TWh | Terawatt Hour |
VNR | Voluntary National Review |
UNFCCC | United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change |
USD | United States Dollar |
| | | | | |
1. Executive Summary
The UN adopted 2030 Agenda with its 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and their targets promote eradication of poverty and hunger; combat inequalities within and among countries; building peaceful, just and inclusive societies; protection of human rights, gender equality and empowerment of women and girls; ensure lasting protection of the planet and its natural resources.The goals are interconnected – often the key to success on one will involve tackling issues more commonly associated with another.
Sustainable Development Goal 7 is to ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all. Focusing on universal access to energy, increased energy efficiency and the increased use of renewable energy through new economic and job opportunities is crucial to creating more sustainable and inclusive communities and resilience to environmental issues like climate change.
The Sustainable Energy for All (SEforALL) is a global initiative led by the UN Secretary General. It was a precursor to SDG 7 and now serves to catalyse faster and bolder action to implement it and support the Paris Climate Agreement. In particular, the SEforALL pursues three key development objectives for the energy sector by 2030: ensuring universal access to electricity and modern cooking solutions; doubling the rate of improvement of energy efficiency; and doubling the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix. These objectives have been endorsed by the UN General Assembly, which declared 2014–2024 the Decade of Sustainable Energy for All.
Even though a lot has been done for improved functioning of the Georgia’s energy sector, its transition to a sustainable development, providing enhanced energy efficiency, wider use of renewable energy sources and better energy access to attain the SEforALL objectives and SDG 7 targets, Georgia still faces various challenges related to sustainable development which require concrete actions to effectively adapt its national energy policies.
Elaboration of the draft National Sustainable Energy Action Plan (NSEAP), which identifies best practices, measures and procedures necessary for a sustainable energy transition, with a particular focus on the cross-cutting nature of energy efficiency, renewable energy and energy access, outlines concrete actions for the Government and other stakeholders to be implemented in the short- and medium-term in line with the country’s commitment to achieve SDG7 objectives will be a step forward to achieve sustainable development goals related to energy for Georgia.
Georgia’s energy system is in a state of active development. Reforms are particularly influenced by the EU-Georgia Association Agreement signed in 2014, under which Georgia tookan obligation of implementing the EU directives in energy sector and will have to comply with the requirements of the third energy package.[1]
Based on energy balance data, in 2017, fossil fuels accounted to up 70% of primary energy consumption in Georgia. Almost all fossil fuels (95%) are imported from neighboring countries which means that energy security and independence are important for the country – especially since there are strained relationships within the region. Moreover, there is a tendency of an increase in fossil fuels consumption in recent years, the largest increase can be seen in natural gas imports (Fig.13). The main energy consumers are the residential, transport and industry sectors, which consume mainly natural gas and oil products. Further development of these sectors will require sustainable increased energy supply.
In this context energy efficiency is an essential component of sustainable development of Georgia’s energy sector as internationally recognized the most cost-effective way of reducing dependency on fossil fuels.
In Georgia, energy intensity as a function of GDP (Fig.3), which is used to measure energy efficiency across countries, is too high though compared to other countries the Georgian economy does not have much energy intensive industry. This indicates that there is potential for energy efficiency improvements.
According to the 2017 Energy Balance of Georgia[2] renewable energy accounted for 88% of the Georgian energy production, and 26% of total primary energy supply (TPES) made up of hydro - 17%, biofuels (mainly wood) and waste – 8% and Geothermal, solar, etc. – 1%. It is worth noting that biomass, mostly the firewood, has major share in primary energy consumption and is increasingly causing forest degradation. Additionally, wind energy production began in 2017. One of the key priorities of the energy policy of Georgia is a full satisfaction of customer demand for electricity with the maximum possible utilization of local hydropower resources. Additionally, the utilization of the country’s local indigenous renewable energy sources such as wind, solar, and geothermal, has become one of the major areas of Georgia’s energy sector development.
The Sustainable Development Goal for energy (SDG 7) has three principal objectives: ensure universal access to modern energy services; significantly increase the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix; and double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency.
The elaborated NSEAP integrate all directions, measures and activities specified in sub-sectoral strategies and action plans, such as National Energy Efficiency Action Plan, National Renewable Energy Action Plan, etc.
In the field of energy efficiency, Georgia’s indicative national energy efficiency targets for 2021, 2025, and 2030 are laid out in Table8 , with 2021 and 2025 as interim target deadlines, and 2030 as an additional indicative target deadline for longer-term projections. The dates of 2021, 2025, and 2030 as the target dates were chosen to be consistent with the planning horizon of the EU and Energy Community – as well as with Georgia’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution for reduction of greenhouse gases against the BAU scenario for the UNFCCC.
By 2025, Georgia intends to achieve a 14% reduction in primary energy consumption as compared to the BAU. NSEAP states that achievement of targets in EE is partly dependent on the planning and establishment of a number of horizontal instruments. Such measures include: Financing schemes for energy efficiency and training and education, including energy advisory programmes; Consumer information programmes and training; Public awareness and capacity building programmes.
NSEAP tackles energy waste in buildings, public bodies, industry, transport, and energy sector. It also provides specific energy efficiency measures for each sector and their investment needs. (Detailed information on planned measures and necessary financial resources for their implementation could be seen below in Chapter 7, Overview of National Energy Efficiency Targets & Energy Efficiency Policy Measures)
In 2016, transport accounted to 35.2% of all energy consumed in Georgia and implementation of energy efficient improvements in this sector will generate up to 64% of the energy savings by 2021. The measures in transport sector involve the following key aspects: Vehicle improvement measures (fuel switching and better management of the existing fleet); Public awareness campaigns on eco-driving and to encourage efficient transport modes would increase the efficiency of driving habits; Investments in intra-city urban mobility (modal shifts from passenger cars to public transport, walking, and cycling).
In industry sector which in 2016 which accounted for 14% of energy used in Georgia and consumption is expected to grow by 2030 as a result of economic development. Industry specific measures envisaged in NSEAP would account for up to 24% of targeted energy savings by 2021. These include work to improve the data availability and investment project in cement industry. Horizontal measures envisage the introduction of incentive-based and mandatory schemes to stimulate better energy performance in industry; creation of energy audit and management systems and certification schemes for the sector; and bringing in financing schemes for energy efficiency.
Draft NSEAP outlined energy efficiency measures in buildings are closely linked with public sector measures. The measures cover standards for labelling schemes in appliances as well as consumer information programmes and training, includes also green procurement methods and regulation for efficient lighting. All measures are closely related to implementation of EED and EPBD.
Draft NSEAP proposed energy efficiency improvements for energy supply include improvements the efficiency of gas and hydropower plants, as well as of the transmission and distribution system. Among proposed measures are: introduction of efficient wood burning stoves for rural households and solar hot water systems.
As estimated the implementation of horizontal and sector specific energy efficient measures will result in total energy savings equal to 2, 568 GWh by 2021.
In renewable energy field in order to meet the target of 30% of energy consumed coming from renewable energy for 2020 and implement the EU Renewable Energy Directive, a number of policy and investment measures were specified in draft NSEAP, as described in more details in below in Chapter 8 (Overview of National Renewable Energy Targets & Renewable Energy Policy Measures).
For the purposes of establishing what measures and investments would be necessary to achieve this target, scenarios were developed for the following sectors:
- Electricity production from renewable energy;
- Heating and cooling from renewable energy and;
- Transport from renewable energy – focused mostly on switching to electric vehicles The measures in renewable energy field include:
➢ Promotion of solar hot water heaters
➢ Promotion of electric vehicles
➢ Ongoing support for hydropower production
➢ Ongoing support for wind production
➢ Ongoing support for solar power production
➢ Support for micro-generation (less than 100 kW) from renewable sources
➢ Ongoing support for geothermal heat production
➢ Improved management of solid biomass resources - Development of a new Forest Code, inventory of Forests, and support for the use of residues
➢ District heating and cooling infrastructure development
➢ Communications and capacity building of technical experts
Estimated total contribution (electricity generation) expected from renewable energy sources to meet the indicative 2020 targets in electricity in 2020 will amount to 9,345 GWh;
Estimated total contribution (final energy consumption) expected from renewable energy sources to meet the indicative 2020 targets in heating and cooling in 2020 will amount to 6,022 GWh and in transport will amount to 556 GWh.;
The National Sustainable Energy Action Plan of Georgia (2018- 2030) Summary Table (Table 27) provides information on all 48 proposed measures in energy efficiency and renewable energy field, estimated energy savings and indication of necessary investments for the implementation of the measures as well as relevance of each measure to a certain SDG. Total cost of implementation of proposed measures is estimated to be €3,168,306,000, including €2,033,112,000 for energy efficient measures and €1,135,194,000 for measures in renewable energy field. Primary Energy savings or renewable energy generation by 2021 is expected to amount to 12,701 GWh
Indeed elaboration of the first NSEAP is a step forward in identification of best practices, measures and procedures necessary for a sustainable energy transition, with a particular focus on the cross-cutting nature of energy efficiency, renewable energy and energy access, outlining concrete actions for the Government and other stakeholders to be implemented in the short- and medium-term in line with the country’s commitment to achieve sustainable development goals related to energy for Georgia.
Of course, in author’s opinion this document is far from being comprehensive and leaves room for further improvements for which a set of recommendations have been elaborated and which would be reflected in second NSEAP.
2. Introduction
The need to improve access to sustainable, affordable and environmentally sound energy services and resources was one of the main reasons to urge countries around the world to increase the awareness on the importance of addressing energy issues and to promote action at the local, national, regional and international levels. In response, Economic Commission for Europe launched UNDA project Sustainable Energy for All (SE4All) in Eastern Europe, the Caucasus and Central Asia. Project aims to strengthen the national capacity of economies in transition to develop National Action Plans for Sustainable Energy for all, namely in following areas: (1) ensuring universal access to modern energy services (2) improving energy efficiency and (3) increasing the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix.
While Georgia has huge renewable energy potential, country is high dependent on imported fossil fuels. Imported energy resources accounts more than 70% of total primary energy supply. On the other hand, it is worth to note that in 2016 Georgia become full member of European Energy Community and based on its accession protocol, recently, Georgia is in the process of harmonization European third energy package with its energy legislation. Hence, Georgia’s energy policy and strategy is to support renewable energy and energy efficiency programs in order to achieve sustainable economic development in the country.
Over last decade, reforms in the Georgian energy sector accompanied with energy infrastructure developed guarantees energy security of the country as well as supports rational use of energy resources, promotion of renewable energy resource and energy efficient and environmentally friendly, clean technologies in all sectors of the economy. However, there is still lack of sufficient support mechanisms and level playing field that will promote large scale development in this regard.
Georgia as the country with transition economic, faces various challenges related to sustainable development which requires concrete actions for adaptation national effective measures into energy policy. The study was conducted through a comprehensive desk review together with stakeholder consultations covering ministries, energy companies, civil society organizations and IFIs active in Georgia.
The activities under the study include a baseline status analysis of Georgia’s energy sector on energy production and consumption. They cover assessment of existing best practices in sustainable energy, together with identification of challenges and implementation of measures to overcome these challenges.
2.1. National Sustainable Energy Action Plan (NSEAP) Objectives
The following are objectives for development of NSEAP for Georgia:
- To identify best practices, measures and procedures necessary for a sustainable energy transition, with a particular focus on the cross-cutting nature of energy efficiency, renewable energy and energy access;
- To outline concrete actions for the Government and other stakeholders to be implemented in the short- and medium-term in line with the country’s commitment to achieve Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 7 objectives.
2.2. Methodology Used in Preparing the Sustainable Energy Action Plan
An interactive and participatory approach was adopted for the NSEAP development. A desk review of national policy documents, reports and roadmaps was undertaken covering access to energy, renewable energy and energy efficiency. Consultative meetings with appropriate Government organizations (Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development, Ministry of Environmental Protection and Agriculture, Georgian National Energy and Water Regulatory Commission, Statistical Office of Georgia, SDGs Council in Georgia) and energy experts and professions working on various aspects of sustainable energy were organized to review the initial findings (in terms of interventions and bottlenecks). Annex 1- List of Stakeholders consulted
The elaborated NSEAP will integrate all directions, measures and activities specified in sub-sectoral strategies and action plans, such as National Energy Efficiency Action Plan, National Renewable Energy Action Plan, etc. Based on the findings, the draft National Sustainable Energy Action Plan was elaborated, which then will be presented to the Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development of Georgia for adoption.
3. Georgia’s Development Policy and Energy Sector Overview
Georgia’s land area is 69,700 square kilometers. Its capital is city of Tbilisi with around 1.2 million population. Georgia has a mild climate, with an average maximum temperature of 33°C in July and an average minimum of –3°C in January, although in some places the temperature reaches 40°C in summer and in other places –20°C in winter. A map of Georgia is presented in Figure 1.
Population of Georgia in 2019 is 3.7235 million which is a dramatic reduction from previous estimates of
4.49 million[3]. Georgia is a middle-income country with 4046.8 US$ GDP per capita (GEOSTAT, 2017). The Georgian economy has been developing with a steady growth rate – though this has been undermined by the global financial and economic crisis and conflict with Russia.
Figure 1. Map of Georgia
For the period 2010-2015 real GDP in domestic currency has increased by 37%. Economic reforms and rapid growth in recent years, have not fully addressed the major economic challenges faced by the country – poverty and unemployment. While the national unemployment rate makes 13.9% (GEOSTAT, 2017), youth unemployment reaches 40% in some of the regions. According to World Bank, poverty declined from 35% in 2006 to 17.1% in 2016. However, Georgia has not yet achieved the economic standards of EU countries. Development of Georgia’s GDP and its actual growth rate is shown in Table 1.
Table 1. Gross Domestic Product 4
| 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018* | 2019* |
GDP at current prices, billion GEL | 29.2 | 31.8 | 34.0 | 37.8 | 41.1 | 9.7 |
GDP at constant 2010 prices, billion GEL | 25.6 | 26.3 | 27.1 | 28.4 | 29.7 | 6.6 |
GDP real growth, % | 4.6 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
GDP deflator, percent | 3.8 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
GDP per capita (at current prices),GEL** | 7 837.4 | 8 524.3 | 9 129.0 | 10 152.0 | 11 013.9 | 2 617.2 |
GDP per capita (at current prices) USD** | 4 438.3 | 3 754.9 | 3 857.3 | 4 046.8 | 4 345.5 | 981.0 |
GDP at current prices, billion USD | 16.5 | 14.0 | 14.4 | 15.1 | 16.2 | 3.7 |
*Adjusted data will be published on Nov.15,2019 |
** Per capita indicators for quarterly and annual figures were revised in line with updated data from 2014 general population census |
Georgia’s main economic activities include agriculture (grapes, fruit, tea, and hazelnuts), mining (manganese, copper, and gold), industrial sector (beverages, wine, spirits, and spring water; metals, machinery, chemicals, and aircraft) and tourism. Agriculture remains important, as more than 50% of the population lives and works on the land and agricultural goods account for about 20% of exports. While other sectors have grown significantly during last years, agriculture has not and its share in total GDP has declined (Figure 2). Recently, Georgia’s economy is highly dependent on imported fossil fuels, while dominated by industry activities.
Figure 2: Share of GDP in 2017
3.1. Georgia 2020: Social-Economic Development Strategy of Georgia
Social-economic Development Strategy ―Georgia 2020 reflects the priorities and problems that need to be resolved in order to achieve long-term, sustainable and inclusive economic growth.
Georgia 2020 strives to achieve the following forecast results by 2020:
Table 2.
Indicator | Current rate | Forecast rate |
GDP per capita (GEL, nominal) | 5811.7 | 13,000 |
GDP per capita (GEL in constant prices) | 5811.7 | 9,200 |
Gini coefficient | 0.41 | 0.35 |
Inflation (%) | 2.4 | 3.0 |
Unemployment (%) | 15.0 | <12 |
Taxes (% of GDP) | 24 | 25 |
Exports (goods and services, % of GDP) | 45 | 65 |
Current account deficit (% of GDP) | >10 | 6 |
Public debt to GDP ratio (%) | 34 | <40 |
A two-legged long term growth strategy (Georgia 2020 and sectoral development policies) aiming to achieve a profound transformation of the country’s macroeconomic framework. Goals of these two strategic plans are:
Fostering inclusive economic growth through: Reduced unemployment; Improved labor and living conditions; Establishment of social protection system; Human capital development
Fostering exports through selected key sectors with high growth and export potential: Tourism; Hydro Power; Agriculture; Transport
MAIN AXES OF GEORGIA 2020 STRATEGY ARE:
- Private sector competitiveness- Improvement of investment and business environment; Innovation and technologies; supporting the export growth; development of infrastructure and full use of transit potential;
- Human capital development- Development of workforce that meets labor market requirements, Improving the social assistance system, Ensuring the accessible and quality healthcare
- Access to finance- mobilization of investment resources; Developing financial intermediation Georgia has undergone though a remarkable period of economic transformation led by major institutional and structural reforms. The reforms succeeded in building smart and low regulations, business friendly tax system, private sector driven and corruption free country.
Energy Sector targets under Georgia 2020 strategy are presented below:
Table 3 Energy Sector Targets Under Georgia 2020
Target | Baseline | 2017 | 2020 |
Electricity Production (TWh) | 9.7 | 14 | 18 |
Access to Electricity (According Doing Business Report) | 50 | 35 | 25 |
With the achieved success Government of Georgia initiated new economic program -Action plan for 20162020- “Four Point Reform Plan” [4]. The Plan embarks on four strategic directions:
1. Economic Reforms – Growth oriented reforms to provide the country with proper legal base and institutional development that are of significant importance for encouraging economic prosperity. Entrepreneurship facilitating jobs creation by improving business and investment environment further, including, inter alia, by implementation of tax reform and supporting entrepreneurship; 2. Education Reform – supporting skills development through education reform targeted at bridging the gap between skills demand and supply. Promotion of vocational education, fundamental reforms in general and higher education systems will guarantee increased overall skill level of the local labor force leading to increase in employment and wages, thus, increasing the pace of local economic development.
- Spatial Development Reform – investing in core infrastructure development supporting expansion of the east-west and south-north trade corridors. The objective of the plan is to utilizing Georgia’s potential of a transit country between Europe and Asia, as well as its touristic potential, thus creating economic opportunities for our citizens. Given better infrastructure and regional development, which will break down transportation and communication barriers, will provide faster growth of investments and create favorable conditions for overall economic growth.
- Open Governance – enhance the principles of inclusive decision making process, where voices of opposition, civil society and private sector are heard and by improving and modernizing public services, including by introducing “single Window Principle” for all government services. Transparency and open governance will guarantee higher integration of public and private sectors. This will increase the level of trust of the society towards public institutions and public administration.
These reforms through productivity growth will accelerate growth potential and foster convergence to higher income levels.
Figure 3 shows GDP intensity comparison of Georgia with some EU countries. GDP intensity measures indicates how much energy is needed to generate 1 unit (in this case USD) of GDP. Even though compared to other countries, Georgian economy does not have much energy intensive industry. Country’s GDP intensity is still much higher than, for instance Turkey’s, which has much more energy intensive economic structure. This indicates, that there is a potential for energy efficiency improvements.
Figure 3: GDP intensity comparison of Georgia with some EU countries
3.2. Energy Sector Overview
In 2016, Georgia’s total primary energy supply (TPES) accounted for 4789.5 ktoe, where about 78% of energy resource, mostly oil products and natural gas were imported. In 2017 total primary energy supply amounted to 4736.9 ktoe.
On the other hand, total final energy consumption in the same years was 4330.5 ktoe dominated by oil products and natural gas with share of 64%. The transport sector was the biggest consumer, followed by residential at 29.4% and industry at 13.9% of the total final energy consumption (see Figure 5 and Figure 6). In 2017 total final energy consumption was 4363.4 ktoe.
Figure 4: Total Primary Energy Supply by Source[5]
The development of Georgia’s energy markets over the past several years has been influenced by a number of factors. Relatively mild economic growth (3-5 per cent annual growth in 2013-2016) influenced energy consumption and supply patterns. The main drivers of structural and regulatory changes in Georgia’s energy markets were the EU-Georgia Association Agreement signed in June 2014, and Georgia’s membership of the European Energy Community, which began in October 2016. These developments will lead to changes in the electricity, natural gas, and crude oil markets, as well as energy efficiency and environmental regulations. Most of these regulatory changes are expected to be implemented by 2023.
Total Final Energy Consumption by Source, 2016 [6] Total Final Energy Consumption by Sector ,2016 [7]
Figure 5: Total Final Energy Consumption by Source Figure 6: Total Final Energy Consumption by Sector
3.2.1. Electricity Sector
The power system in Georgia is characterized by relatively stable seasonal supply and consumption patterns. Due to abundant hydro resources, hydropower dominates the electricity generation in Georgia Currently, 87 small, medium and large scale hydro power plants are operating with total of 3260.07 MW installed capacity and 9949,3 mln. kWh annual generation (2018).
However, In spring-summer period electricity production peaks, though consumption decreases, creating imbalance between supply and demand. The electricity shortages in winter is compensated by thermal power plants and electricity imports. To meet increasing energy demand, overcome the winter deficit and to decease the dependence on imported energy resources additional generation units are being developed. In total, 139 renewable energy projects are under development. The total installed capacity of these projects is 3218 MW and approximate electricity generation is around 13891 mln. kWh. Out of which, 24 Projects are on Construction and Licensing stage, with installed capacity of 235 MW, annual generation of 1,065 mln. kWh. 24 Projects are on Construction stage, installed capacity equals 376 MW, annual generation of 1700 mln. kWh. 91 Projects on the Feasibility Study Stage with 2607 MW installed capacity and annual generation of 11 126 mln. kWh.
The first wind power plant “Kartli” was taken into operation in 2016. Total installed capacity is 20,7 MW and total annual generation equals 84,3 mln kW/h (2018). In 2017, share of the electricity generated by HPPs in the total generation was 80,4%. The share of the electricity generated by wind power plant being put in operation at the end of 2016 amounted to 0,8%, though not yet enough to cover the country’s consumption-generation gap.
As for thermal power, there are four gas-fired thermal power plants and one coal-fired thermal power plant with total installed capacity of 924,4 MW.
Additionally, Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development has planned to construct another 230 MW thermal power, equipped with combined cycle gas turbine, and decommission Mtkvari Unit 9 by 2025.
➢ Electricity Market
The structure of the electricity market, reflecting amendments made to Georgian legislation in previous year is provided on Fig 7. Electricity trade at wholesale level is mainly carried out on the basis of the direct contracts. Electricity sale will take place through generators, importers, whereas the electricity is purchased by the distribution licensees (in terms of supply), direct customers, exporters, electricity generators (in cases of plant losses) and the dispatch licensee (for the purpose of ensuring electricity (capacity) transit with the view to cover losses related to the purchase of the electricity). For the purpose of electricity trade at the wholesale market, registration with the Electricity System Commercial Operator (ESCO) as a qualified enterprise is necessary.
Figure 7: Structure of the Electricity Market in Georgia For the regulatory purposes, electricity generators are classified as:
a) Regulatory power plants to which the Georgian National Energy and Water Supply Regulatory
(Commission) sets fixed tariffs;
b) Partially deregulated power plants to which the Commission sets marginal (upper margin) tariffs;
c) Deregulated power plants constructed after August 1, 2008 and act on the market without any tariffs set by the Commission;
d) Guaranteed capacity sources (Thermal Power Plants) to whom the Commission sets guaranteed capacity fee and marginal tariffs (upper margin) of the electricity generation.
For the power plants with installed capacity exceeding 15 MW, the Commission issues electricity generation license, whereas power plants up to 15 MW (small power plants) are exempted from licensing procedures. The list of guaranteed capacity sources is defined by the Government of Georgia individually according to the time periods during which those guaranteed capacity sources can provide guaranteed capacity to the system and they are used for ensuring sustainable, secure and reliable functioning of the integrated electricity system of the country.
The electricity import and export activities are deregulated and do not require licensing. The price of the electricity export activities is free (without tariffs), whereas the price for the electricity import is set according to the marginal tariff formula set by the Commission.
In terms of purchase and selling electricity the Electricity System Commercial Operator (ESCO) is entitled to purchase and/or sell electricity through direct contracts or standard terms and conditions of the balance electricity direct contracts, for the purpose of meeting (balancing) qualified enterprises’ demand. At the same time, ESCO organizes guaranteed capacity trading, registers companies as participants to the wholesale trade, makes amendments to the registration data and revokes registrations. The market operator possesses and exploits the Automated System of Commercial Metering (ASCM) that encompasses unified base and gets metering data from Automated System of Electricity and Capacity Control and Metering (ASECCM) automatically. It is intended for receiving, checking, collecting, grouping and summing up data for the wholesale electricity trade.
The Transmission System Operator (TSO) and the Transmission and Distribution licensees carry out network and system services. The TSO (the Dispatch Licensee) has signed contracts with the Transmission Licensees on conveying rights of operating and developing transmission network to it. The TSO manages system mainly through Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition System (SCADA) and at the same time uses upper level Automated System of Electricity and Capacity Control and Metering (upper level ASECCM).
The Distribution licensees carry out network services, including wheeling, through networks under their ownership or under the third person’s ownership. The distribution licensees provide network services to: retail customers that purchase electricity from small power plants based on direct contracts, direct customers connected to the distribution network and so called distributed generation – power plants that are connected to the distribution network.
Electricity is sold by the distribution licensees at the electricity retail market on the basis of household tariffs set by the Commission. At the same time, they ensure network and system service of retail customers. According to the current legislation sale of the electricity to the retail customers can be carried out by the small power plants, though their participation at the retail market is quite rare, as far as small power plants have possibility to sell generated electricity at wholesale market for the price higher than weighted average price of the household tariffs that does neither incentivize them, nor customers to trade on the basis of direct contracts.
After amendments in the Georgian Law on Electricity and Natural Gas, the Law incorporated provisions that micro power plants, with installed capacity up to 100 kW, may be included in the net-metering policy only in the case that production takes place at the point of consumption. There is no additional procedure to apply for participation in net-metering policy. All consumers with connected micro generators can automatically benefit from net-metering. At the same time, Commission’s regulation on “Electricity (Capacity) Supply and Consumption Rules” defines net-metering policy, micro generation connection procedures, and compensation mechanisms in detail. Customer submits the application and DSO takes over the application and carries out all related works without customer involvement. The timeframe of micro generator connection after application is strictly defined from 20 up to 40 days depending on the capacity and connection voltage level. The rules are published and available for customer on the Commission’s website.
The net excess energy provided onto the grid by the micro generator is carried over to next month’ bill as kWh credits that can be consumed by the consumer in that particular month. In case there is still surplus generation after some time the consumer has the right to claim financial remuneration that equals the opportunity cost (average wholesale energy price) of a supplier (i.e. DSO).
In 2018, the electricity wholesale supplier has entered the electricity market, which has been granted the status of qualified enterprise. Its function is the procurement of electricity from the generation license holder, small power plant, importers and electricity supply for direct consumers and export;
During last decade significant increase in the electricity consumption has been observed. In 2017 the electricity consumption has increased by 7.7% The electricity consumption in Georgia during 2007-2017 has been increasing by 4.4% in average (see Figure 8).
Figure 8. Electricity generation (bus bar delivery) and consumption
In the electricity generation structure increase of the electricity shares generated (delivered on a bus bar) by thermal and hydro power plants is more or less stable. Electricity generated by the thermal power plants in 2016-2017 has constituted 18.8% of the total generated electricity. The share of the electricity generated by HPPs in the total generation has been 80.4%.
The share of the electricity generated by the wind power plant being put into the operation by the end of 2016 has been 0.8%.
Figure 9. Structure of the electricity delivered on a busbar by the power plants
In 2017 the electricity imports exceeded exports by 2.2 times (see Figure 10) and reached to 1,497.2 mln kWh that exceeds the same indicators of the previous year by three times and indicators of 2015 by two times.
With regards to exports, 685.7 mln kWh electricity has been exported from Georgia that exceeds indicators of the previous year by 22.7%. The dramatic increase of imports has been caused by the decreased water inflow and stopping of Enguri HPP for two weeks. Besides, for the purpose of meeting internal consumption and filling the deficit that has resulted from decreased hydro generation, thermal generation was substituted by import based on its competitive price.
Figure 10: Electricity import and export by years
The main feature of the energy security in the electricity sector is uninterruptible supply. It can be ensured through meeting electricity demand by maximum utilization of indigenous resources. This will enable substitution of import in a short-term perspective and thermal generation in a long-term perspective. The dynamics of the electricity generation and consumption per month is provided on Figure 11. As it can be observed from the Figure, hydro and thermal generation capacities are not enough to meet the demand in autumn and winter periods. Respectively, electricity import becomes necessary for satisfying the demand. On the other hand, abundant water resources in second half of spring period and summer makes it possible to meet the electricity demand and export the rest of the electricity.
Figure 11: Electricity generation and consumption per months in
2018
Based on analysing results of the electricity supply and consumption balance 2017, one can state that important attention shall be paid to the construction of new generation units through utilizing local energy resources. Respectively, hydrocarbon resources and renewable resources shall be utilized together with hydro resources to a maximum extent, including wind and solar energy resources.
The signing of the Association Agreement and Georgia’s accession to the energy community in October 2016 imposed some important obligations on the country to reform its energy markets. For the electricity market, 2018 was a turning point. Among the key obligations the country committed to under the energy community accession protocol were the adoption of: (i) Directive 2009/72/EC, concerning common rules for the internal market in electricity and (ii) Regulation (EC) No 714/2009, on conditions for access to the network for cross-border exchanges in electricity. Provisions from both of these documents have to be incorporated into Georgian legislation by the end of the year. This entails some crucial steps to ensure non-discriminatory access by any third party to the electricity market. To meet this obligation, Georgia will have to:
- Unbundle vertically integrated companies in distribution and generation according to provisions of EU directive 2009/72/EC
- Create a functional trading mechanism to ensure access of third parties to the market. This will most probably entail set-up of a day-ahead market.
➢ The Electricity Market Concept Design [8]
The electricity market concept design constitutes the vision of the Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development of Georgia regarding the general structure, organization, and functioning of the electricity market in Georgia (hereinafter—the Market).
This Market Concept, in defining a new structure of the Market, includes transitional measures for phased implementation to the market structure envisaged herein. The transitional measures of this Market Concept are outlined for and are binding during the Transitory Phase lasting from 1 January 2019 until 31 December 2022.
The overarching design target of the Market Concept is to establish Organized Electricity Markets. The
Organized Electricity Markets encompass the competitive markets for electricity, being a Day- Ahead Market (DAM), Intra-Day Market (IDM) and Balancing Market. The envisaged design is in line with Georgia’s international commitments as a Contracting Party of the Energy Community and is also aligned to the Energy Community target model. In addition to the establishment of Organized Electricity Markets, the Market Concept also aims to promote further regional integration between Georgia and its neighbouring countries based on market-based solutions supported by relevant international agreements with these countries.
3.2.2. Natural Gas
➢ Natural Gas Sector
Natural gas remains one of the substantial energy sources of Georgia by means of which 33.1%1 of final energy consumption of Georgia is satisfied. In 2017 the demand for natural gas increased by 3.6% compared to the previous year., which mostly was caused by the increased demand at household sector - result of current gasification process. In 2018 - 81,895 new consumers were connected to the natural gas distribution network and the total number of the consumers comprised 1,239,022 by the end of 2018.
Figure 13: Energy Balance of Georgia
Natural gas is used mainly for cooking, heating of water and apartments.
The Figure 14, which contains preliminary data subject to change, provides for the assessment of the size of the natural gas market of Georgia and the parameters of main flows of natural gas in 2018.
GOGC carries out natural gas import on the basis of agreements made between the parties followed by wholesale supply of natural gas to the so-called social (power generation sectors and household) and commercial consumers.
Transit of gas in Georgia is provided by
two gas pipelines - the South Caucasus Pipeline (SCP) and the North-South Main Gas Pipeline (NSMP).
The South Caucasus Pipeline also known as Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum Gas Pipeline transits gas produced from Shah Deniz field from Azerbaijan to Turkey. The pipeline length is 692 km, the length of the Georgian section is 249 km. The design throughput of the pipeline is 20 billion cubic meters per year. SCP mainly lies parallel to BTC pipeline.
The North-South Main Gas Pipeline (NSMP) transits Russian gas to Armenia. The length of the Georgian section of NSMP is 234 km and its design throughput is 12 billion cubic meters per year.
The natural gas transportation system in Georgia is operated by Georgian Gas Transportation Company LLC (GGTC) which is the state-owned enterprise and the natural gas transportation licensee. ➢ Natural Gas Market
The structure of the natural gas market of Georgia remains unchanged. The companies affiliated to Socar are still holding dominated positions and participating in the wholesale and retail markets. Natural gas organized market does not exist in Georgia. Due to this reason selling and purchasing of natural gas take place only through bilateral agreements. At present the natural gas market of Georgia is concentrated at the wholesale and retail levels. Therefore, one of the challenges is an access to the natural gas for the deregulated customers on a competitive price.
The protocol concerning the Accession of Georgia to the Treaty Establishing Energy Community envisages reforming of the natural gas sector including the natural gas market by 2021. The EU Third Energy Package focuses on customer rights for them to have possibility to choose the supplier on the competitive market and as a result, purchase natural gas in a competitive price through healthy competition.
Together with other factors, competition on the market is hard to exist without sufficient number of suppliers. In order to reach the above-mentioned goal, non-discriminatory and fair conditions on the natural gas market for accessing suppliers shall be introduced.
➢ Natural Gas Regulatory Frameworks
In 2018 the regulatory framework of natural gas sector was updated, in particular, the amendments were made to the primary and secondary legislation in the reporting year:
- Pursuant to the amendments to the Law of Georgia on Electricity and Natural Gas, the issue regarding the notification the Commission about commencement of the activities by the supplier was resolved. Before the above-mentioned amendments, natural gas suppliers were entitled to carry out activities without notifying the Commission. Due to this fact, the Commission was unable to fully record the regulated utilities (suppliers) on the market. In addition, the Commission became obliged to approve Uniform System of Accounts (USoA) for the natural gas transportation licensees and distribution licensees before December 31, 2021.
- Under the Resolution №22 of August 31, 2018 the Commission approved Natural Gas Network Rules. The rules define the procedures, conditions and principles for managing the transportation system, distribution network and using the network, the relationships between existing companies in the natural gas sector and the persons using their services. The rules resolved the issues such as the connection to the transportation system, the relationship between the system user and the transportation licensee. In addition, the qualitative characteristics of natural gas were determined that should be met by the natural gas injected in the transportation system, etc.
The network rules envisage the requirements necessary for
Figure 15: Natural Gas Market Structure accessing the natural gas systems and determines transparency standards that is one of the basic
preconditions for development of competition. The development of a new model of the natural gas market significantly depends on efficient implementation of the requirements set by the abovementioned document.
➢ Natural Gas Market and Its Participants
The natural gas market with its nature and characteristics can be divided into two levels. Despite the fact that it is not defined by the legislation, the wholesale and retail levels of the natural gas market (trading) can be distinguished. At the wholesale level the suppliers import natural gas (or purchase small amount of extracted natural gas) and resell it to other suppliers while at the retail level suppliers supply natural gas directly to the end-
use customers. The above-mentioned fact does not exclude the activity of one supplier at both levels of the market. In 2018, 33 suppliers carried out activities on the market - two of them were active only on the wholesale market, 25 only on the retail market and 6 - at both levels of the market.
Physical delivery of natural gas to the end-user customers is provided by natural gas transportation (whose basic function is to transport natural gas from the source of its extraction or import to the residential areas) and distribution licensees.
Since Georgia produces only insignificant volumes of natural gas, it relies heavily on foreign import to satisfy domestic demand.
➢ Functional, legal and ownership unbundling
Pursuant to the current legislation natural gas distribution and supply are considered as different activities, however, the distribution licensees are not prohibited to carry out supply activities and therefore, they also represent natural gas suppliers within their scope..
According to the EU Third Energy Package, ownership unbundling is obligatory for the natural gas transportation licensee (Georgian Gas Transportation Company LLC). However, two alternatives are also considered which can be chosen by the country. Though the effective status of the transportation licensee in Georgia is very close to the definition of the Independent System Operator (based on the lease agreement owns the natural gas transportation system of Georgia). However, in order to achieve full compatibility, it is necessary to be functionally fully independent from the system owner, not to carry out the natural gas supply and address other less important issues. ➢ Main characteristics of natural gas market
The natural gas market with its nature and characteristics can be divided into retail and wholesale markets.
a) Wholesale Market
The Republic of Azerbaijan still remains as the main supplier of natural gas for Georgia, from where the country received natural gas necessary to satisfy its needs. Georgia remains the transit country of natural gas from Russia to Armenia. Accordingly, Georgia receives a fee for transit from Russia to Armenia. In addition, Georgia received natural gas from South Caucasus Pipeline (SCP) as a transit fee. Local extraction remains insignificant.
In 2018 four suppliers imported natural gas to Georgia to satisfy 99.8% of country’s demand. Also 4 more suppliers (from which one of them is also importer) delivered natural gas to the market from local extraction.. HHI is 5,050 among natural gas suppliers of Georgia that indicates the highly concentrated market. Such condition is particularly characteristic to the countries with the developing markets. b) Retail Market
Natural Gas is consumed by retail customers (connected to the distribution network) and direct customers (connected to transportation system). About half of the total consumption of direct customers is composed by consumption of TPPs. The gas filling stations are also among the largest consumers. They account for significant part of retail consumption.
c) Natural Gas Market Stability
Natural gas market stability is of crucial importance for Georgia’s power security. Natural gas averaged consumption grows approximately by annual 7%. Moreover, the natural gas sector embraces extreme seasonal factors. Namely, in winter season (October-March) the consumption constitutes about 75% of total consumption. Naturally, based on the existing consumption structure and for improving power security system it is necessary to build a gas storage tank. Construction works for Samgori South Dome Underground Storage with total volume 500 Mm3 will finish by end of 2023. Total value of the project will exceed 250 million USD.
Underground gas storage tank construction will considerably strengthen Georgia’s power security. The project will regulate seasonal misbalance between gas supply and consumption and peak consumption will be satisfied in winter period. Moreover, if supplier countries cease gas supply to Georgia, Georgian consumers will receive natural gas from the gas storage tank.
3.2.3. Oil
Oil products account for more than 30% of energy consumption in Georgia. The country is almost 100% dependent on foreign imports of crude oil and refined petroleum products required to satisfy its domestic demand. Imports are mainly carried out from Romania, Azerbaijan, the Russian Federation, Bulgaria, Greece and Turkmenistan. Even though oil production in Georgia is insignificant, due to its geostrategic location, Georgia has a long history of serving as a transit corridor for oil transportation from the Caspian Sea to the western energy markets.
Currently, the territory is divided into license blocks, where different companies selected through international tenders extract oil. They have concluded production sharing agreements with the government. GOGC as a national oil company (NOC) cooperates with the companies, monitors their activities and manages state share of oil.
Six investor companies carry out oil production activities in Georgia, they are Ninotsminda Oil Company, Schlumberger Rustaveli Company Limited (Georgia), Frontera Resources Georgia, VPI Georgia Satskhenisi Georgia, Norio Khevi Georgia and Georgian Oil and Gas Corporation, which extracts oil with its own resources.
Seven investor companies carry out only exploration works, they are GOG Limited, Elenito, Marexin, Georgia New Ventures Inc., Norio Oil Company, West Gulf Petroleum Engineering Company and Coalition Energy Limited Company.
For the last ten years the average annual production totals to 43.6 thousand tones. ➢ Oil Production
Oil and gas production industry is governed by the Law of Georgia "On Oil and Gas" and bylaws issued based on it. On the basis of this Law, GOGC has the status of the National Oil Company (NOC) and it performs functions assigned by the legislation which implies participation in drafting and negotiating the agreements between the State and Investors and their approval; acting as a commercial partner from the Georgian part in the agreements; regulatory evaluation of mining work plans and technological schemes for exploitation of mineral resources; administering the state share of produced oil and gas; creation of the joint coordination committee with the Investor for management of the agreement; implementation of operating and commercial rights and obligations of the state party in the agreements; implementation of other sectoral functions assigned by the state including maintenance of wells located on a non-licensed area on behalf of the state and other oil operations.
GOGC represents the owner of sectoral state property (wells, special equipment, railway dead-end, oilaccumulation system, warehouses etc.) and has a right to transfer it into the ownership of respective license-holder Investors.
In addition to performance of NOC functions, GOGC performs sectoral economic activities, in particular, it has the oil primary treatment enterprise with 50 000 ton tank farm where services are provided for treatment of crude oil to stock-tank condition and its storage until the sale.
Also, GOGC holds the license for oil production and produces oil on the license area.
Figure 16: Crude oil production 2013-2017 [9]
➢ Oil Transportation
The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) and the Western Route Export Pipeline (WREP) transport oil through the territory of Georgia. BTC pipeline exports oil extracted from the Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli field to the Ceyhan port in Turkey. The pipeline is also used to transport oil from Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan. BTC is the second longest pipeline in the world. The total length of the pipeline is 1.768 km with 229 km in Georgia. The pipeline has eight pumping stations, two of which are located in Georgia. BTC is capable of transporting 1,2 million barrels of oil per day (around 58 MTA). The pipeline is operated by BP and owned by the International Consortium BTC Co.
Western Route Export Pipeline (WREP) also known as the Baku-Supsa Pipeline is the first investment of International Oil Consortium in Georgia, which has been in operation since 1999. The length of the WREP is 830 km. Its diameter is 530 mm. The pipeline transports crude oil from Azeri-Chiragi-Guneshli oil field to the Supsa terminal in West Georgia. where it is transported to Turkey by tankers. The pipeline is capable of transporting up to 120 000 tons of oil per day. The Georgian part of WREP is owned by GOGC and operated by BP.
3.2.4. Coal
Coal deposits in Georgia are mainly located in three regions: Tkibuli-Shaori, Tkvarcheli and Akhaltsikhe. Available coal supplies are of two types: coal and brown coal (lignite). Total volume of Industrial coal supplies (category A, B and C1) equals to approximately 372 million tons.
The Tkibul-Shaori field is considered large, with an industrial stock of about 280 million tons. It does not cox independently, but in combination with Tkvarcheli coal transforms into metallurgical cox. Currently imported high calorie coal is used for its enrichment. Industrial stock of Tkvarcheli field is relatively small - about 21 million tons. Akhaltsikhe Lignite coal deposit has a relatively higher industrial stock of about 71 million tonnes. Currently, coal in Georgia is used for industrial, commercial as well as residential purposes.
4. Renewable Energy Potential & Its Utilization
➢ Hydro
Natural abundance of river networks contributes to Georgia’s energy potential. “According to “Hydro Project”, 319 out of total amount of rivers have significant hydropower potential, with potential capacity of 15.63mln kW and average annual generation of 135.8 bl. kWh, as a whole. 208 out of these rivers are small and medium sized rivers with potential capacity of 14.78GWh and 129.5TWh. The rest 111 rivers have potential of 851 thousand kW (7% of total capacity of the rivers). The energy of total surface waters of Georgia accounts for 228.5 TWh, with corresponding capacity of 26.1 GWh”[10].Of this potential approximately 22% is currently utilised in terms of capacity and 17% in terms of production.
Currently, 87 small, medium and large scale hydro power plants are operating with total of 3260.07 MW installed capacity and 9949,3 mln. kWh annual generation (2018). In total, 139 renewable energy projects are under development. The total installed capacity of these projects is 3218 MW and approximate electricity generation is around 13891 mln. kWh. Out of which, 24 Projects are on Construction and Licensing stage, with installed capacity of 235 MW, annual generation of 1,065 mln. kWh. 24 Projects are on Construction stage, installed capacity equals 376 MW, annual generation of 1700 mln. kWh. 91 Projects on the Feasibility Study Stage with 2607 MW installed capacity and annual generation of 11 126 mln. kWh.
➢ Solar Energy
Considering geographical location of Georgia, solar radiation effectiveness and duration is quite high. In majority of Georgian regions annual duration of sunny days varies within 250-280 days, which (considering ratio between the day and night hours) equals 1900-2200 hours a year. Annual solar radiation varies according to regions between 1250-1800 kWh/m2. Overall, solar potential of Georgia is estimated at 108 MW, equivalent to 34 ths. tones of heat [11].
Maximum solar radiation reaches 10kWh/m2 in summer and 4-4.5kWh/m2 in sunlit days of winter. Annual maximum for solar radiation was seen in Rodionovka – 2633 hours, while the minimum was observed in Sairme- 1147 hours.
At present approximately up to 50,000 solar collectors are being installed for hot water supply, mostly used to deliver hot water for bathroom and kitchen, heating of swimming-pools. Small-sized PV systems are quite well-spread within population, mostly with the capacity between 20-2000 watts. Through recent netmetering project which enables customers to satisfy own energy demand, deliver excess energy to the network and make respective settlement, by the end of 2018, about 70 subscribers with total installed capacity of about 750 KW[12] were engaged in the project.
By 2020 solar PV plants with total installed capacity of about 150 MW will be constructed and connected to the grid.
➢ Wind Energy
Average annual wind speed in Georgia is 0.5- 9.2 meters/second. In some regions it exceeds 15 m/sec. The average annual electricity generation potential of wind in Georgia is estimated to be 4 TWh with an installed capacity of 1,500 MW.[13] Several studies of wind power have identified the areas for potential wind farm construction with total installed capacity up to 1450 MW
In 2016 the first wind farm with the installed capacity 20.7 MW, and annual generation of 88 GWh was put into operation.
➢ Biomass and biofuels a)Biomass supply
Georgia faces an imminent crisis in supplying its regions with heating energy. The fuel wood that constitutes about 12% of country’s total energy balance, and about 35% of domestic primary energy, is utilized in a highly unsustainable way. The Forestry Agency of the Ministry of Environment estimates the annually available renewable wood resource at 600,000 m3, while the total consumption was estimated at 2.5 million m³ in 2014.
It is noteworthy that in the time period between 2014 (the baseline year) and 2016 (the last year for which the energy balance was available, fuel wood production and consumption dropped by 911 GWh (approximately 17%) or approximately 400,000 m3 to 2.1 million m3.
There are significant volumes of solid woody biomass residues currently not utilized which can be used for heating through production of upgraded solid biofuels (briquettes, pellets and chips) to satisfy heating needs – particularly outside the capital. This includes agricultural (theoretical potential 7-8 PJ equivalent annually) and forestry waste as well as waste from tree trimming in the cities, and from other underutilized sources. These sources can be summarised as follows:
b) Biomass residues:
The theoretical potential is approximately 1 million m3 of biomass residues. There is approximately 3.02 million ha of agriculture land. Nearly 0.8 million ha of this is arable land and 0.33 million ha is used for perennial crops. Pasturelands (1.8 million ha), and meadows (0.14 million ha) make up the remainder of the agricultural lands. [14]
c) Residential waste:
Approximately 900,000 tonnes of waste per year accumulate in the Tbilisi and Kutaisi waste disposal sites according to municipal data. An estimated 90 million m³ biogas could be obtained by re-treating these
residues; this would equal 64 million m³ of natural gas. Approximately 160 million m³ of biogas can be annually obtained from the sewage water cleaning station of Tbilisi (serving 1.2 million). The resulting biogas energy is estimated to be 1,000 GWh/year equalling 100 million m³ of natural gas.
Therefore, the technical potential of the major biomass sources in Georgia amounts to 12.5 TWh/year. The achievable potential is estimated at 3-4 TWh/year.
This estimate does not incorporate the potential of farming energy crops. For comparison, one can note that total annual electricity generation in Georgia is in the range of 8,000 GWh. Apart from firewood, which is used for cooking and heating, and a few donor supported biogas initiatives, the biomass potential remains untapped.
5. Legal Framework on Energy
The Law on Electricity and Natural Gas [15] is the key piece of legislation regulating the country’s energy sector since 1997. The objectives of the law include stimulating the use of local hydro energy and other renewable energy sources. This Law has been amended several times since 2006 and currently incorporates some EU principles – notably reflecting the principles of deregulation and liberalisation of the energy market.
“The Main Directions of the State Energy Policy of Georgia” has been adopted on June 2015,[16] The Energy Policy develops a long-term comprehensive state vision, which is the basis for the development of short, medium- and long-term strategies, with a special emphasis on the utilization of Georgia’s renewable energy resources. Energy efficiency is also incorporated into the document.
Since 2015 the Ministry of Energy (now Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development of Georgia) approves a “Ten-year network development plan of Georgia for 2015-2025” on annual basis This is the time-bound program designed for reinforcement of national transmission system infrastructure, addressing the existing problems, responding to the future challenges and implementing the opportunities. One of the core subjects identified in the document is an integration of renewable energy sources into the network, which still remains a major challenge for the wind and solar based electricity generation.
For the purpose of supporting the construction of new generation, units the Government of Georgia has adopted state programs and several sub-laws.
The National Environmental Action Programme (NEAP) of Georgia 2012-16 [17] assumes that Georgia is on a fast track for economic development. Economic growth is the basis for the country’s welfare which may bring considerable pressure on natural resources and the environment. Therefore, sustainable economic development is important for the country from the perspective of environmental protection and rational use of natural resources. The NEAP sets long term (20-year) goals and short term (5-year) targets in 11 thematic environmental areas including climate change. Climate change mitigation is among the short term targets – Target 3: the creation of favourable conditions for the reduction of GHG emissions. The proposed measures related to this National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP) are: the elaboration of Low Emission Development Strategy (LEDS) (ongoing) and the Promotion of EE in the Transport and Building sectors.
Draft State Strategy for the Development of Solid Biofuels in Georgia has been elaborated and is subject of the government approval and adoption in the near future.
The major goal of the strategy is the facilitation of the utilization of solid biomass residues in Georgia, through the encouragement of the production and utilization of the modern solid biofuels. The main directions of the strategy include:
- Sustainable management and provision of supply of solid biomass residues from forest, agriculture, industry and other sources;
- Support of the advancement of the new technologies and business processes for the production of the solid biofuels;
Encouragement of the sustainable production and demand for the energy received from biomass residues.
Georgia joined the Energy Community as a full-fledged member in the course of 2017, following the ratification of the accession agreement by the Georgian Parliament.
As a full member of the Energy Community Treaty, Georgia plans to follow the provisions of the EU Directives and transpose the acquis communautaire according to the Energy Community work program. Georgia (via the Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development) is also developing a new Law on Energy and Water Supply which is expected to be approved in the near future. This law will become a key part of legislation regulating the energy sector. However, it is expected that it will predominantly govern natural gas and electricity markets.
The UN General Assembly adopted 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development on September 2015. 17 Sustainable Development Goals and 169 associated targets balance three dimensions of sustainable development– economic, social and environmental. 2030 Agenda is the sole global agenda that unites every country to achieve sustainable development with the core principle of “leaving no one behind”.
The Administration of Government of Georgia (AoG) expressed high level political support to prioritizing SDGs. The Government of Georgia (GoG) started nationalizing SDGs in 2015 and undertook important steps in this direction. The same year, the AoG was granted coordination functions of the implementation of SDGs. Georgia currently has all 17 goals, 95 targets and 215 indicators nationalized [28]. The GoG aims to nationalize all 169 targets till 2030.
The Sustainable Development Goals Council was established for monitoring and efficient coordination of SDG implementation.
Incorporation of SDGs in national policy documents started in 2018. This will be an inevitable component in transferring SDGs into the daily agenda of public institutions.
Integration of nationalized SDGs into development planning of Georgia is very high:
The 37 national strategies cover 93 % of nationalized SDG targets; The process of defining adjusted SDG targets, development of relevant indicators has drawn on a set of strategic and multi-sectoral development documents, especially: EU–Georgia Association Agenda; Social and Economic Development Strategy “Georgia 2020”; National Strategy for the Protection of Human Rights in Georgia; Public Administration Reform Roadmap and its Action Plan 2015-2016.
Government Policy Priorities in pursuit to SDGs- 4 point reform plan of the Government of Georgia: Economic reform; Education reform; Spatial development: Regional and Infrastructural Development; Governance reform.
The Council has four thematic Working Groups: on Social Inclusion; Economic Development; Democratic Governance and Sustainable Energy and Environmental Protection. The AoG performs the functions of Secretariat of the Council.
The national document – SDGs Matrix was elaborated which includes all the necessary information that will guide lead government
institutions in the process of implementing the 2030 Agenda. Namely, the Matrix reflects global and Georgiaadjusted targets, as well as indicators that should be achieved by 2030 and baseline indicators to measure the achievement of the targets.
The High-Level Political Forum (HLPF) has a central role in overseeing follow-up and review of the progress made on SDGs at the global level. Georgia submitted its first Voluntary National Review (VNR) to the HLPF in 2016. However, VNR was not detailed at that time and highlighted Georgia’s general aspirations towards achieving sustainable development, the process of establishing institutionalized coordination and nationalization mechanism and future plans. Georgia was due to submit its next VNR in 2019, describing detailed progress of all SDGs compared to relevant indicators, but the date of submission was postponed to 2020. The Council and Working Groups in the process of elaboration of the first progress report will use innovative Electronic Monitoring System (EMS). The EMS provides for effective and transparent monitoring of the national agenda of UN Sustainable Goals. The electronic monitoring tool will support the distribution of up-to-date information about the performance of public institutions on subsequently all relevant targets of the SDGs.
Table 5: SDG 7
GOAL 7. ENSURE ACCESS TO AFFORDABLE, RELIABLE, SUSTAINABLE AND MODERN ENERGY FOR ALL | |
Global Target | Georgia Adjusted Target | Global Indicator | |
7.1 By 2030, ensure universal access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services | 7.1 By 2030, Georgia achieves significant progress in ensuring nationwide access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services | 7.1.1: Percentage of population with access to electricity 7.1.2: Proportion of population with primary reliance on clean fuels and technology | |
7.2 By 2030, increase substantially the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix | 7.2 By 2030, increase substantially the share of renewable energy in the energy mix of Georgia | 7.2.1: Renewable energy share in the total final energy consumption |
7.3 By 2030, double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency | 7.3 By 2030, significantly increase the rate of improvement in energy efficiency in Georgia | 7.3.1: Energy intensity measured in terms of primary energy and GDP |
7.a By 2030, enhance international cooperation to facilitate access to clean energy research and technology, including renewable energy, energy efficiency and advanced and cleaner fossil-fuel technology, and promote investment in energy infrastructure and clean energy technology | 7.a By 2030, enhance international cooperation to facilitate access to clean energy research and technology, including renewable energy, energy efficiency and advanced and cleaner fossil-fuel technology, and promote investment in energy infrastructure and clean energy technology in Georgia | 7.a.1: Mobilized amount of United States dollars per year starting in 2020 accountable towards the $100 billion commitment |
7.b By 2030, expand infrastructure and upgrade technology for supplying modern and sustainable energy services for all in developing countries, in particular least developed countries, small island developing States and landlocked developing countries, in accordance with their respective programmes support. | 7.b By 2030, expand infrastructure and upgrade technology for supplying modern and sustainable energy services for all | 7.b.1: Investments in energy efficiency as a percentage of GDP and the amount of foreign direct investment in financial transfer for infrastructure and technology to sustainable development services | |
Access to electricity- According to database from Sustainable Energy for All Global Tracking Framework, led by World Bank, International Energy Agency and the Energy Sector Management Assistance Program, almost 100% of Georgian population has access to the electricity[29] However, according to the information from the Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development of Georgia, all households in urban areas have access to electricity while in rural areas there are few villages where households lack access to electricity.
Modern Energy for Cooking
According survey - “Energy Consumption in Households”, conducted in 2017 by National Statistics Office of Georgia, about 80% of rural population uses natural gas for cooking, while these figure is almost 3 times lower among rural households, as about 40% of rural population uses firewood and agricultural waste, followed by 27% of those who use LPG.
Energy Source | Urban | Rural |
Natural Gas | 77.8 | 27.8 |
LPG | 6.3 | 27 |
Firewood, agricultural waste | 9.3 | 39.9 |
Coal | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Electricity | 6.5 | 5 |
Other | 0 | 0.2 |
| 100% | 100% |
Table 6. Distribution of Households (%) in Urban and Rural Areas by Used Energy Forms for Cooking[30]
As fuel wood which is largely used by population in rural areas both for heating and cooking is mostly burnt in primitive inefficient wood stoves, the introduction of energy efficient wood stoves will not only reduce fuel wood consumption thus improving access and affordability to this source of energy, but also improve comfort level and decrease indoor air pollution in the houses, which is connected to SDG 3.
Considerable work has been done by the Government of Georgia to nationalize Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with special emphasis on ensuring that all SDGs have gender-sensitive indicators and that gender equality policies reflect commitments made in the nationalized SDGs and their targets. Achievement of gender equality (SDG 5) and the SDGs will not be possible without women’s economic empowerment, the Government Action Plan on Human Rights 2018-2020 [31] incorporates issues such as: economic empowerment of rural women, identifying needs of women living in rural areas, ensuring equitable access to resources etc.
Access to energy can increase opportunities for women, enabling them to work from home and thereby generate an independent source of income. Impacts will initially be greatest at the household level, with society-wide implications emerging over time. The more empowered women become, the more likely they are to push local initiatives that directly benefit them from an energy-access perspective, since they are often the ones to gain most from the use of cleaner, easier-to-obtain fuels for cooking and lighting. Access to energy reduces the importance of physical gender differences in the labour force, increasing access to the professions for women. Public outdoor lighting would increase security for women and girls, in the evening.
The country's energy potential affects its economy at both the macro and micro levels. Accordingly, it reflects both on the economic performance of the country as a whole and on the well-being of each of its residents.
In the macro aspect, there is a strong link between consumed or produced energy and the country's economic development. From a micro perspective, energy can be a source of health improvement, productivity growth, additional income, and a reduction in labor costs for each individual household. Hence, gender-based energy consumption priorities may be identified, as the main household energy users are usually housewives.
It is obvious that the improved energy situation for each family directly affects the well-being of the woman as a housewife. This is especially true in Georgia, where the majority of women are housewives while the rest are employed, but still take their part in a daily housekeeping activities. Consequently, access to energy sources is vital for both categories, so that their free time and money can be spent more efficiently.
At this stage, gasification procedures are under intense development. Between the years of 2019-2021, the LLC "Georgian Gas Transportation Company” shall ensure 58 849 customers across 233 settlements with the natural gas supply through the gasification project and construction work developments, which will allow housewives to replace widely used bio fuel (wood) with natural gas. (Decree N 791 of the Government of Georgia of April 5, 2019 – On Facilitating Natural Gas Supply for the Population of Georgian between 2019 – 2021).
It is also very important for families to have uninterrupted power supply, which is directly related to the use of family equipment and information sources. In this regard, the decree N751 of the Government of Georgia dated April 4, 2019 - on allocation of funds from the Highland Settlement Development Fund, according to which 2 000 000 GEL will be allocated to the Ministry of Regional Development and Infrastructure of Georgia for the purpose of providing solar panels to municipalities that are left without electricity.
The below table shows the number of employees in the energy sector. The table noticeably indicates the growing number of women employed in the energy sector.
Table 7: Number of employees in the energy sector by sex
The establishment of SDG 6, Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all, reflects the increased attention on water and sanitation issues in the global political agenda. Fresh water, in sufficient quantity and quality, is essential for all aspects of life and sustainable development. The human rights to water and sanitation are widely recognized by Member States. Water resources are embedded in all forms of development (e.g. food security, health promotion and poverty reduction), in sustaining economic growth in agriculture, industry and energy generation, and in maintaining healthy ecosystems.
Coordination between the water, energy, food and environment sectors is challenging even at the national level. But the complexity increases substantially in transboundary river basins where the impacts spread from one country to another and trade-offs and externalities may cause friction between the riparian countries.
Improved water, energy and food security on a global level can be achieved through a nexus approach — an approach that integrates management and governance across sectors and scales. A nexus approach can support the transition to a Green Economy, which aims, among other things, at resource use efficiency and greater policy coherence.
The nexus assessments undertaken under the Water Convention are intended to provide a picture of the interdependencies across water, ecosystems, energy, food and other areas such as climate change and biodiversity in terms of uses, needs, economic and social benefits, potential synergies, conflicts and tradeoffs, and also to identify possible policy responses.
The nexus assessment of the Alazani/Ganykh Basin [32] elaborated by UNICE “Reconciling resource uses in transboundary basins: assessment of the water-food-energy-ecosystems nexus” aimed at supporting transboundary cooperation between Georgia and Azerbaijan in the areas of water, energy, food and environmental policies by strengthening the knowledge base for integrated policy development and decision-making. The pilot nexus assessment of the Alazani/Ganykh River Basin includes the preliminary identification of possible solutions to improve the management of the basin’s land, water, energy and environmental resources. These potential solutions have been classified under five headings: institutions, information, instruments, infrastructure, and international cooperation and coordination.
The nexus assessment of the Alazani/Ganykh Basin findings and recommendations, include:
- The sustainable use and management of the Alazani/Ganykh Basin’s resources is essential for the development of the riparian regions in Georgia and Azerbaijan. The basin has productive
agricultural land, attractive landscapes, and abundant and good quality water resources. The agriculture and tourism sectors, which rely on those resources, are expected to drive development in the
riparian regions. Improving energy access and affordability in rural areas contributes to improving rural livelihoods.
- The basin’s resources are increasingly under pressure. Economic development is driving water demand and water transfers to supply cities outside of the basin, raising pollution levels from agriculture and households, and increasing the exploitation of hydropower potential. Despite reduced levels of poverty, poverty is still an issue, and it is driving erosion and sedimentation owing to excessive logging for fuelwood and poor maintenance of river banks and irrigation infrastructure. In addition to erosion processes, flooding of agricultural plots also takes place.
- There are multiple linkages in the Alazani/Ganykh Basin between the different basin resources. Energy-land and land-water linkages are particularly strong. But second degree linkages are also relevant – for example, lack of modern fuels in the upper basin leads to deforestation for fuelwood collection, impacting on land erosion and sedimentation, which in turn affects water resources and populations (through flooding) as well as energy production through siltation of reservoirs and the impact of floods.
Therefore, understanding the consequences of different policy options requires looking at the chain of indirect impacts across sectors, and quantifying them whenever possible.
- Possible solutions to support the sustainable use and management of the basin resources. They include solutions related to institutions, information, instruments, investments, and international cooperation and coordination. Often, coherent packages of measures will need to be devised, for example, with regard to agricultural support or the promotion of fuel switching. A nexus perspective should inform the selection of measures, for example, in the development of sustainable and multipurpose renewable energy sources.
- Management of the nexus requires stronger transboundary governance. The two countries are currently negotiating a transboundary agreement for the Kura Basin to which the Alazani-Ganykh belongs. Finalizing that agreement represents a valuable opportunity for engaging different waterusing sectors in cooperating at the transboundary level.
- More intense transboundary cooperation on the integrated management of basin resources will bring additional real benefits. It will allow Georgia and Azerbaijan to exploit complementarities in their resource bases (e.g. Georgian forests, Azerbaijani gas) to optimize resources development as well as risk management at the basin scale (e.g. coordinated hydropower development, coordinated flood management) to effectively protect the resource base for regional economic development, and to generate new economic opportunities (e.g. through more intense energy trade). There are certainly opportunities for the two countries to learn from each other, for example, Georgia would benefit from Azerbaijani experience in promoting the switch from fuelwood to modern fuels, and Azerbaijan could learn from the Georgian experience in economic valuation of ecosystem services.
- Ultimately, stronger and more coherent national policies are needed to “manage the nexus”. To a large extent, the dynamics between the resources and sectors at the transboundary level are explained by national developments. Intersectoral planning needs to be strengthened, which will require improved information exchange, but also mechanisms to take into account cross-sectoral impacts when carrying out sector planning. The preparation of the National Water Strategy of Azerbaijan and the updating of the Georgian Water Law provide an opportunity to strengthen intersector coordination of water-user sectors. Similarly, the development of the new Energy Strategy for Georgia represents an opportunity to consider the chain of impacts on other sectors (agriculture, forest, tourism, urban development) of different energy policy options.
Agenda 2030 requires substantial and coordinated efforts across and within all national institutions and bodies. The following ministries play the strongest role of integrating the agenda by contributing to the implementation of the majority of the nationalized SDG targets:
➢ Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development;
➢ Ministry of Internally Displaced Persons from the Occupied Territories, Labour, Health and Social Affairs;
➢ Ministry of Environmental Protection and Agriculture; ➢ Ministry of Education, Science, Culture and Sport.
➢ Ministry of Regional Development & Infrastructure
In May 2019, UN Development Programme (UNDP) led assessment of how Georgia's national and subnational policies are aligned with the SDGs was presented. The analysis reviewed 55 different sectoral strategies and Georgia’s Association Agreement with the European Union (EU) to assess how well SDG targets are reflected in national plans, and how well national priority goals are funded.
According to the assessment [33] integration of nationalized SDGs into development planning of Georgia is very high.
Long-term strategies, including the AA cover, 77% of the nationalized SDG targets. The findings were broadly positive in terms of strategic alignment: 37 national strategies cover fully 93 percent of the SDG targets that Georgia has adopted as national priorities. It’s revealing, however, that the EU Association Agreement makes a huge contribution to the country’s alignment with SDG targets, covering fully 63 percent of all targets. This underlines the complementarity of the SDGs and the European integration agenda, and also suggests a need for the refinement of sectoral strategies. Alignment work is needed in particular for four SDGs: gender equality (#5); reduced inequalities (#10); peace, justice and strong institutions (#16); and partnerships for sustainable development (#17).
In terms of spending, some priority areas are faring better than others. Peace (#16), education (#4) and infrastructure (#9) have generous budgets, whereas poverty (#1), gender equality (#5) and environmental protection and climate change (#6, 12, 13, 14 and 15) are significantly less well-funded.
As concluded in the assessment “the potential acceleration points are targets of Economic growth and Access to energy. Targets that could provide strong enabling role are Equal access to resources and Sustainable tourism. They are highly influential in achieving other targets, but many of these are not well integrated across the government.
The potential weak points are targets related to Agricultural productivity and the Employment targets(especially youth employment). Environmental and Pollution targets are also underperforming. All of these have strong linkages with other targets. If not addressed, they can pull the entire development agenda of Georgia backwards”.
Planetary SDG targets should be integrated into economic, social and other policies. A ‘new growth’ model which considers climate change and environment should be discussed.
Georgia has also developed Georgia’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) which was submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) at the COP21 in Paris at the end of 2015. Georgia plans to “unconditionally reducing its GHG emissions by 15% below the Business as Usual Scenario (BAU) for the year 2030. This is equal to reduction in emission intensity per unit of GDP by approximately 34% from 2013 to 2030. The 15% reduction target will be increased up to 25% in a conditional manner, subject to a global agreement addressing the importance of technical cooperation, access to low-cost financial resources and technology transfer. This is equal to reduction of emission intensity per unit of GDP by approximately 43% from 2013 to 2030. The 25% reduction below BAU scenario would also ensure that Georgian GHG emissions by 2030 will stay by 40% below the 1990 levels” [34]covering following sectors: energy, industry, agriculture and waste with consideration of various mitigation as well as adaption measures.
Georgia also submitted a forest related annex as part of the INDC document describing that the Georgian Government prioritizes three options for climate change mitigation activities in the forestry sector: (a) establishing Sustainable Forest Management (SFM) practices; (b) conducting afforestation / reforestation and assist natural regeneration; and (c) expanding the protected area.
Georgia is making strides toward low emission sustainable economic development. The country’s mid-term (5-year) climate objectives, as laid out in the 3-d National Environmental Action Plan (NEAP) of Georgia [35], include implementing measures for adaptation to climate change and reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
In order to fulfill its obligations under the Paris Agreement, the MEPA has planned the development of a ‘Climate Action Plan 2021-2030’ (CAP) before 2020 and its implementation in the following years. As one of the first steps, a revision of the Georgian INDC is planned to be conducted based on which, the new NDC will be developed and submitted to the UNFCCC secretariat by 2019.
The EU-Georgia AA is another key document shaping the Climate Change commitments at the national level. Specifically, the AA stresses the need for cooperation on the following areas: mitigation of climate change, adaptation to climate change, carbon trade, integration into industrial policy on climate change issues and the development of clean technologies.
The agreement explicitly mentions the cooperation on the preparation of the Low Emission Development Strategy (LEDS), as well as Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMA), and the measures aimed at promoting technology transfer based on the technology needs assessment.
The preparation of LEDS started in 2013 and was completed in 2017. It aims to (a) provide an integrated comprehensive pathway for long-term sustainable development; (b) take into account the country’s development objectives and unique circumstances; (c) promote transformational development; (d) help the country meet international climate change commitments; and (e), help the country to access financing from both public and private sources.
Two major international processes – the new international climate agreement under the United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change (Paris Agreement), and adoption of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by the United Nations General Assembly as part of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, represented the main international context of the Georgia’s LEDS process.
Furthermore, at European level, the LEDS process could contribute toward fulfilling certain part of the commitments undertaken under the Association Agreement, and specifically for the area of energy, under the Energy Community.
Georgia needs to make strong and determined steps towards shifting the economy to a low emission
development pathway in order to fulfil its INDC commitment by 2030. Furthermore, at
Within the framework of this initiative, the following NAMAs have either been implemented or are under preparation: Adaptive Sustainable Forest Management in the Borjomi-Bakuriani Forest District; the Efficient Use of Biomass for Equitable Climate-Proof and Sustainable Rural Development; Energy Efficient Refurbishment in the Georgian public building sector; and Vertically Integrated Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action (V-NAMA) with a focus on the urban transport sector.
The Georgian Laws on Environmental Protection (1996) and on Ambient Air Protection (1999) acknowledge the significance of GHG emissions and stress the need to implement mitigation measures. It is highly expected that Georgia’s contribution to global greenhouse gas emissions will increase driven by the increasing trends of the projections of population and economic development.
However, by joining the Paris Agreement, Georgia is going to contribute to the international commitment by reducing its national GHG emissions.
The importance of actions addressing climate change effects at the national level is acknowledged
in the Social-economic Development Strategy of Georgia “Georgia
2020”.The document declares that “it will be necessary to attract
environmental investments from the international funds of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (Green Climate Fund (GCF), Global Environmental Facility (GEF)) in order to meet the requirements of the Convention. This will facilitate the process of introducing energy-saving, environmentally-friendly modern technologies in Georgia”.
The Agricultural Strategy for 2015-2020, among other activities, integrates climate change-related aspects and aims to introduce climate-smart agricultural practices in the country. It is expected that the soon-to-be implemented Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA), will further facilitate the integration of climate change issues in sectoral policies
Georgia strongly supports the EU initiative - Covenant of Mayors (CoM). By joining the municipalities and cities of Georgia to the CoM, vertical coordination dialogue has advanced between both the central and local governments with regard to climate change mitigation. The intensification of the dialogue has a dual effect for better coordination. On one hand, the local governments have been exchanging knowledge on translating national climate goals to their action plans and on the other hand, the mitigation targets and needs raised by the municipalities and cities have been included in national climate-related strategies. For instance, the Sustainable Energy (and Climate) Action Plans (SE(C)APs) prepared under the CoM have been translated into the development of GHG emission scenarios, such as business as usual and alternatives. Currently, there are 23 signatories, from which 12 signatories committed to 20% emissions reductions by 2020, and 11 signatories are committed to 30% emissions reductions by 2030. Ten signatories have submitted their Sustainable Energy Action Plans (SEAP) showing emission reductions mostly from the transport and public sectors. The new initiative offered by the commission regarding the CoM for climate and energy is open for the cities of Georgia in order to strengthen climate actions towards developing adaptive capacity and enhancing mitigation measures vis-a-vis promoting secure, sustainable and affordable energy.
To achieve long-term benefits, it should be highlighted that climate change mitigation and adaptation does not only serve environmental goals. This is an integrated process that improves the efficiency of the economy as well. Energy efficiency, the diversification of energy sources, and shifting to alternative energy sources are cost intensive. Although, in the long run, these measures will provide better energy independence and lower operational costs for the whole economy. Climate change also has serious negative effects on Georgia’s critical economic sectors as mentioned above and may lead to significant economic losses. According to expert opinion, the estimated economic losses without adaptation measures during 2021-2030 could be about GEL 25-30 billion, while adaptation measures could cost up to GEL 2.5-3 billion.
Therefore, the implementation of adaptation measures is a key area under the given climate change trends.
Another important arena are the mitigation measures planned within the framework of the LEDS for the following sectors: energy, industry, transport, residential, agriculture, LULUCF (Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry) and waste. The implementation of the SEAPs within the CoM will also significantly contribute to the reduction of GHG emissions and the climate change mitigation process. Finally, in order to properly implement any adaptation or mitigation measures, it is necessary to track climate change process in Georgia related to permanent studies and analyses. The UNFCCC requires from each party to communicate regularly all possible information on processes related to climate change. Therefore, the preparation of NDCs and biannual update reports is essential procedures for the country. In order to address the above described cross-sectoral challenges, the following long-term goal and short-term targets have been defined below:
LEDS is directly related to SDG 13 which calls for an urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts along three lines:
- Target 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards and natural disasters in all countries.
- Target 13.2: Integrate climate change measures into national policies, strategies and planning.
- Target 13.3: Improve education, awareness-raising and human and institutional capacity on climate change mitigation, adaptation, impact reduction and early warning.
The most important cross-sectoral linkages of SDG 13 include the following sectors:
- Climate Change Adaptation and Resilience: Agriculture and food security, forestry, health, water resources, biodiversity, spatial planning, land management, urban planning, rural development, tourism, and disaster risk reduction. Climate Change Mitigation: energy, transport, buildings, industry, waste, water, agriculture, and forestry.
- Climate Change horizontal issues: education, R&D and innovation, communication strategies of relevant sectors, reforms of administration, and gender.
- Linkage with other SDGs: SDG 13 is interconnected with almost all, but the most pronounced connection is demonstrated with SDG 7: Affordable and clean energy, SDG 11: Sustainable cities and communities, SDG 3: Good health and well-being, SDG 12: Sustainable Consumption and Production and SDG 15: Life on Land.
7. Overview of National Energy Efficiency Targets & Energy Efficiency Policy Measures
Georgia’s indicative national energy efficiency targets for 2021, 2025, and 2030 are laid out in Table 8. The country intends to use 2021 and 2025 as interim target deadlines, with 2030 as an additional indicative target deadline for longer-term projections.
Table 8: Georgia’s indicative energy efficiency targets for 2021, 2025, and 2030 versus the Business As Usual Case
Year | 2014 | 2021 | 2025 | 2030 |
Category | Primary Energy (GWh) | Final energy (GWh) | Primary Energy (GWh) | Final energy (GWh) | Primary Energy (GWh) | Final energy (GWh) | Primary Energy (GWh) | Final energy (GWh) |
BAU | 54,894 | 46,758 | 63,185 | 57,426 | 85,542 | 70,201 | 101,810 | 83,710 |
Savings from EE measures | - | - | 5,436 | 2,568 | 10,856 | 6,167 | 14,584 | 9,253 |
With measures | 54,894 | 46,758 | 57,748 | 54,857 | 74,687 | 64,034 | 87,226 | 74,457 |
% energy reduction from the BAU | 0% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 13% | 9% | 14% | 11% |
Note: Figures for energy consumption in 2014 come from Geostat’s Energy Balance (published in 2015). The final energy consumption figures for 2014 do not include 27 GWh of non-energy use consumption of oil products in the energy sector.
The BAU estimates of primary and final energy consumption are based on modelling in MARKAL carried out by the Ministry of Economy and Sustainable Development (see major assumptions below). Savings from measures represent the sum of savings elaborated upon later in this document.
As can be seen from Table 8, energy efficiency measures would have a significant impact on Georgia’s energy consumption as well as the efficiency of energy production – particularly on electricity production from natural gas-fired power plants.
The BAU scenario was developed using MARKAL modelling software using inputs developed by the Georgian Government as part of the LEDS project. The critical assumptions underlying the Business As Usual scenario are as follows:
- The current population is assumed to be 3,720,400 people – and would remain constant at this level.
- GDP growth is projected to be 5.6% through 2030.
- Per capita GDP is projected to grow from ~EUR 3,450 in 2015 to ~EUR 7,660 in 2030.
- The number of households is projected to remain steady at 955,000 through 2030.
- Growth of energy consumption in industry is projected to grow by 5.6% per year through 2030.
The assumptions for GDP and population for 2015 and the target years are shown in Table 7. Projections of primary energy demand according to sector through 2030 are shown in Figure 17[36]
Table 9: Population and GDP assumptions for the target years [37]
Name of the variable | Units | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 |
Population growth | % | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Population | # | 3,720,400 | 3,720,400 | 3,720,400 | 3,720,400 |
GDP growth | % | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
GDP | 1000 EUR | € 12,796,355 | € 16,469,572 | € 21,627,280 | € 28,400,206 |
Figure 17: Primary energy demand according to sector – 2014 to 2030 [38]
The impact on energy consumption has been calculated through the use of individual models for each measure – wherein a BAU case was developed in terms of final energy use and primary energy use, and then the energy efficiency case was developed which entailed a number of potential changes including:
- Switching to energy sources which use less primary energy input from non-renewable fuels for the same amount of final energy – such as switching from electricity for hot water heating to solar resources – wherein there is no savings of final energy demand, but there is savings of primary energy as the primary energy to create electricity is reduced.
- Improvement of distribution/ transmission/ transformation efficiencies – such as reducing electricity losses or natural gas losses on their respective networks, or improving the efficiency of natural-gas fired power plants by switching to combined-cycle plants.
- Improving the efficiency of end-use equipment – such as introducing efficient lighting, efficient wood-stoves, improving the efficiency of vehicles, efficient pumps and boilers in industry, etc.
- Switching to more efficient transport means – such as switching from personal cars to buses or metros.
- Reduction of end-user demand – such as reduction of heating losses in building envelopes, reduction in the use of motorized transport (switching to walking/cycling), improving maintenance of industrial firms, etc.
For electricity, the conversion factor for converting final energy savings into primary energy savings were based on levels of efficiency and losses for electricity production projected over the time period. The primary energy to be consumed is the final energy divided by the conversion efficiency. The following methodological issues are relevant:
- For efficiency measures related to primary energy production/transformation or transmission:
the conversion factor used was before the losses in the transmission and distribution – with the assumption that the decreased energy required would result in less production from natural gasfired power plants (i.e. the conversion factor used was Conversion Factor #1 below)
- For most end-use efficiency measures resulting in reduction of electricity demand: the conversion factor used was the average conversion efficiency of primary energy to final energy for natural gasfired power plants (Conversion Factor #3) – with the assumption that the reduction in demand would result in less natural-gas fired power plant energy production which is the marginal electricity resource typically used.
- For end-use measures in the industry sector and building sector resulting in reduction of electricity demand: the conversion factor used was the average conversion efficiency of primary energy to final energy for all power plants (Conversion factor #5) – assuming that the power production displaced would be a mix of natural-gas fired plants and hydro-plants.
- For end-use measures resulting in reduction of natural gas demand: Conversion factor #6 was used which reflects the losses in the distribution grid.
- For all other fuels (diesel, gasoline, wood, etc.): a conversion factor of 100% was used.
The calculation of primary energy from final energy is given by the following equation:
Primary energy = Final Energy / Conversion factor
Table 10: Average conversion efficiencies and losses for electricity production/distribution and for natural gas distribution
Conversi on factor # | Label | Units | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 |
1 | Average conversion efficiency of natural gas-fired power plants | MWh (grid)/MWh (primary) | 32.9% | 35.1% | 35.8% | 36.7% |
2 | Average network transmission and distribution losses | MWh (final)/MWh (grid) | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
3 | Average conversion efficiency of primary energy to final energy for natural gas-fired power plants | MWh (final)/MWh (primary) | 30.5% | 32.1% | 32.8% | 33.6% |
4 | Average conversion efficiency of all power plants | MWh(grid)/MWh(primary) | 72.9% | 78.1% | 85.6% | 87.0% |
5 | Average conversion efficiency of primary energy to final energy for all power plants | MWh (final)/MWh (primary) | 67.4% | 71.5% | 78.3% | 79.6% |
6 | Average end delivery of the natural gas network (1 - % losses) | MWh (final)/MWh primary | 91.3% | 93.4% | 94.7% | 95.6% |
7 | All other fuels | MWh (final)/MWh primary | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Note: Additional information on the calculation of Conversion factors 1, 2, 4, and 6 are included in Annex 6.
The BAU only includes a limited transition to CCGT plants (as described in Measure E-1’s assumptions and in Annex 6 under “Thermal power plants – BAU” – taken from the MARKAL model.
The targets for measures were calculated based as much as possible on the market potential for EE interventions for particular measures .
The dates of 2021, 2025, and 2030 as the target dates were chosen to be consistent with the planning horizon of the EU and Energy Community – as well as with Georgia’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution for reduction of greenhouse gases against the BAU scenario for the UNFCCC.
The achievement of the indicative targets depend on three factors:
- The implementation of an ambitious policy agenda for energy efficiency:
- Implementation of an overall project identification, technical assistance, and grant distribution scheme via a designated national body –with the exact scope to be decided by the Government
- Incentivizing energy efficiency in industry
- In buildings, implementation of the EPBD including energy audit rules (H-9) and building up expertise
- In industry, building up knowledge amongst decision-makers (H-3), establishing energy audit rules and expertise amongst auditors The introduction of green public procurement practices A regulatory mechanism to increase the share of the market for efficient light bulbs and industry investments); and
- A technical inspection programme of vehicles
- The availability of technical assistance for implementation: Many measures are contingent upon the availability of technical assistance within the various sub-sectors to assist private and public sector actors in planning energy efficiency investments.
- The availability of investment funds for implementation: Furthermore, the availability of lending funds at a reasonable rate – and for some measures grants – will prove to be crucial for widespread uptake of measures.
It can be noted that the savings are fairly well spread across the sectors, with the primary energy sector and transport sectors having a large impact on primary energy savings. Savings targets were not calculated for most horizontal measures, as their impact will be mostly related to stimulation of investment in other sectors.
Table 11: Expected energy and GHG savings by measures according to sector
Sector | 2021 | 2025 | | 2030 | |
Primary energy savings (GWh) | Final energy savings (GWh) | GHG emissions abated per year (tonnes CO2eq) | Primary energy savings (GWh) | Final energy savings (GWh) | GHG emissions abated per year (tonnes CO2eq) | Primary energy savings (GWh) | Final energy savings (GWh) | GHG emissions abated per year (tonnes CO2eq) |
Horizontal measures | 221 | 193 | 61,200 | 1,298 | 1,348 | 387,188 | 3,288 | 2,993 | 969,178 |
Building sector measures | 34 | 24 | 8,464 | 305 | 239 | 83,571 | 175 | 139 | 48,719 |
Public sector measures | 78 | 32 | 17,080 | 231 | 96 | 50,989 | 374 | 161 | 84,923 |
Industry sector measures | 614 | 614 | 216,836 | 744 | 744 | 262,964 | 1,190 | 1,190 | 420,578 |
Transport sector measures | 1,645 | 1,645 | 316,256 | 3,537 | 3,535 | 662,293 | 4,377 | 4,375 | 831,672 |
Energy transformation, transmission, distribution, and demand response measures | 2,844 | 61 | 1,512,807 | | 205 | 2,165,603 | 5,179 | 394 | 2,350,819 |
Total savings | 5,436 | 2,568 | 2,132,643 | 10,856 | 6,167 | 3,612,608 | 14,584 | 9,253 | 4,705,889 |
Table 12: Estimates of key national energy production and consumption figures in 2021, 2025, and 2030
Estimate of energy consumption | GWh – 2021 | GWh – 2025 | GWh – 2030 |
Total primary energy consumption | 67,656 | 85,542 | 101,810 |
Electricity transformation input (thermal power generation) | 6,503 | 6,600 | 6,962 |
Electricity generation output (thermal power generation) | 2,409 | 2,460 | 2,647 |
CHP transformation input | - | - | - |
CHP transformation output – thermal | - | - | - |
CHP transformation output – electrical | - | - | - |
Energy transformation losses | 4,094 | 4,141 | 4,315 |
Electricity distribution and transmission losses | 1,385 | 2,096 | 2,451 |
Natural gas distribution losses | 953 | 1,039 | 1,183 |
Additional losses | 1,103 | 8,065 | 10,151 |
Total final energy consumption | 60,121 | 70,201 | 83,710 |
Final energy consumption – Commercial | 6,295 | 7,147 | 8,307 |
Final energy consumption – Residential | 18,527 | 21,356 | 24,327 |
Final energy consumption – Industry | 10,928 | 13,263 | 16,877 |
Final energy consumption – Transport | 22,181 | 26,160 | 31,884 |
Final energy consumption – Other sectors | 2,190 | 2,276 | 2,315 |
Note: Primary energy consumption and final energy consumption per sector were calculated using the MARKAL model. Expected energy distribution and transmission losses for electricity and distribution losses for natural gas are described in Annex 6 of NEEAP.
The Table below shows the key priority policy measures to be implemented by the Government of Georgia – which are directly related to facilitating investment in EE. The most critical measures as far as energy saving and /or facilitation of market development have a light blue background.
Table 13: Key priority policy measures and implementation timeline
No. | Title of the energy saving measure | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
Horizontal measures to be implemented |
H-1 | Alternative policy measures - Financing schemes for energy efficiency | | | | | | | | |
H-3 | Alternative policy measures – Training and education, including energy advisory programmes | | | | | | | | |
H-8 | Consumer information programmes and training | | | | | | | | |
T-2 | Public awareness - Information campaign for transport | | | | | | | | |
H-2 | Alternative policy measures – Incentivising / mandating energy efficiency in industry | | | | | | | | |
H-7 | Energy audits and management systems, boiler inspections in the industry sector* | | | | | | | | |
Industry policy measures |
H-6 | Qualification, accreditation, and certification schemes – Industry* | | | | | | | | |
Public sector and Building policy measures |
H-4 | Standards and norms and labelling schemes in appliances* | | | | | | | | |
H-5 | Qualification, accreditation, and certification schemes – Buildings* | | | | | | | | |
H-9 | EPBD Transposition and Enforcement: Standards and norms and energy performance certification schemes in buildings* | | | | | | | | |
B-1 | Regulations leading to improved efficient lighting systems in residential and commercial buildings | | | | | | | | |
P-1 | Develop a national energy efficiency information system for publicly owned buildings* | | | | | | | | |
P-8 | Energy efficient procurement* | | | | | | | | |
Transport sector policy measures |
T-1 | Vehicle improvement - Mandatory periodic roadworthiness tests for motor vehicles* | | | | | | | | |
T-8 | Vehicle improvement - Increase of hybrid and electric vehicles** | | | | | | | | |
Primary Energy sector policy measures |
E-2 | Policies and investments to rehabilitate hydropower assets | | | | | | | | |
E-3 | Optimization of reserves and seasonal operational regimes | | | | | | | | |
E-5 | Regulations on the rules of calculation of normative electricity losses - stimulating investments** | | | | | | | | |
E-6 | Regulations on the rules of calculation of normative natural gas pipeline losses - stimulating investments** | | | | | | | | |
| Policy development and adoption Policy implementation Priority measures for energy saving / facilitation of market development Policy required as part of Energy Community Membership / EU accession Policies already in place |
|
|
* |
** |
➢ Overview of primary energy savings
The primary and final energy savings expected for 2021, 2025 and 2030 are provided in Table 14. The primary energy savings are linked to final energy savings in that primary consumption is calculated based on final consumption divided by a conversion factor. The factors used are specific to each measure and described in the assumptions in the measure descriptions in NEEAP, Section 3 [39].
Table 14: Overview of the estimates of primary and final energy savings
| Primary energy savings (GWh) | Final energy savings (GWh) |
2020 | 5,436 | 2,568 |
2025 | 10,856 | 6,167 |
2030 | 14,584 | 9,253 |
7.1 Horizontal measures
Energy efficiency obligation scheme/ alternative measures
Overall theoretical target of the Energy Efficiency Obligation scheme/alternative measures
Article 7 of the EED requires EU member states to set up an energy efficiency obligation (EEO) scheme or to achieve the same amount of savings with alternative measures. The EEO scheme requires energy distribution companies to achieve yearly energy savings of at least 1.5% of annual sales to final consumers. For Energy Community Contracting Parties, the target for EEOs was set at 0.7% each year from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2020 over the most recent three-year period prior to 1 January 2016. A country can opt to introduce the above 0.7% target gradually (i.e., 0.5% in 2017 and 2018; 0.7 % in 2019 and 2020), and such and other alternative calculation measures should be notified by 15 October 2017.
Georgia has opted to utilize alternative policy measures in combination with various investment/technical measures within the different sectors in order to achieve these targets. Therefore, the EEO target will not be used for Georgia’s NEEAP. For reference, however, information has been included to demonstrate that the planned achieved savings of the NEEAP will far surpass those of the EEO. Table 14 shows the theoretical EEO targets for each year starting in 2019 and going to 2021.
Table 15: Energy Efficiency Obligation Scheme targets for Georgia
Savings per year - EEO according to EnC adoption of the EED (MWh) | 0.50% | 0.50% | 0.70% | 0.70% | Total | Cumulative |
2017 | 75,587 | | | | 75,587 | 75,587 |
2018 | 75,587 | 75,587 | | | 151,175 | 226,762 |
2019 | 75,587 | 75,587 | 105,822 | | 256,997 | 483,759 |
2020 | 75,587 | 75,587 | 105,822 | 105,822 | 362,819 | 846,578 |
Annual average | | | | | 90,705 | |
NEEAP target for savings in 2021 | | | | | 3,766,712 | |
Instead of implementing an EEO scheme, Georgia plans to implement a set of alternative policy measures linked with technical/investment measures which reduce final energy consumption. As an alternative (or supplement) to setting up an energy efficiency obligation scheme, the Article 7 of EED allows to take other policy measures to achieve energy savings among final consumers.
The alternative measures included in the Republic of Georgia’s first NEEAP are as follows:
- Financing schemes for energy efficiency
- Incentivising / requiring energy efficiency in industry
- Training and education, including energy advisory programmes
- Standards and norms and labelling schemes in appliances [40]
The above measures will not achieve the entire direct savings equivalent to the impact of the EEO scheme, however they will make it possible to achieve savings through the specific technical/investment measures described later in this section which are linked to these alternative measures. Savings in sector-specific measures will more than make up for the lack of savings achieved by a lack of an EEO scheme.
Since the alternative policy measures described are to be linked to other sector-specific technical / investment measures, energy savings have not been calculated for any of them except for the measure related to standards and norms and labelling schemes in appliances. The lack of energy savings calculations for the first three measures ensures that there is no double-counting in the presentation of potential savings.
Despite the fact that Georgia’s Energy Sector, mainly the Electricity part, is relatively Green – produced from source of renewable energy, there are many issues and gaps for sector development in a sustainable manner, moreover increase of the consumption and to meet the demand through the sustainable way is even more challenging.
The key issues and gaps to be addressed are identified and summarized as follows:
- To ensure timely approval of the developed draft regulatory documents additional consultative meetings with national decision makers should be organized with participation of international stakeholders
- To attract TA for gap analysis and elaboration of required secondary legislation as well as for elaboration of necessary technical standards and norms;
- To conduct institutional mapping and capacity needs analysis for development, coordination, monitoring and reporting of NSEAP measures both at national and sub-national level with the consideration of recent international experience of countries in transition;
- To establish national accreditation, certification and training system, necessary methodologies and curricula;
- To intensify communication and coordination with donors and IFIs focused on implementation of Sustainable Developments Goals;
- To ensure allocation of public financing (co-financing) from national and sub-national budget for implementation of NSEAP measures.
- For mainstreaming of sustainable energy, conduct continuous tailored awareness raising campaigns with involvement of mainstream and social media.