Quantified targets of NDC 

Type 

Activity-based targets and policy targets in key sectors, including emissions reduction in some sectors  

The targets in this section, unless otherwise specified, are conditional upon international support. 

Coverage  

Energy; Industrial Processes and Product Use (IPPU); Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU); and Waste  

Timeframe 

From 1^st January 2021- 31^st December 2030 

Single year target – 2030, including updates on 2025 targets  

Energy 

(Energy generation) 

• By 2030, expand clean energy generation from approximately 1,400 MW to 15,000 MW, of which 5-10 % will be generated from mini and micro-hydro power, solar, wind and bio-energy. Of this, 5,000 MW is an unconditional target. The remainder is dependent upon the provision of funding by the international community.  
• By 2030, ensure 15% of the total energy demand is supplied from clean energy sources. 

(Transport) 

• Sales of electric vehicles (e-vehicles) in 2025 will be 25% of all private passenger vehicles sales, including two-wheelers and 20% of all four-wheeler public passenger vehicle sales (this public passenger target does not take into account electricrickshaws and electric-tempos) in 2025. Due to this e-vehicle sales target, fossil fuel energy demand for the transportation sector will decrease from approximately 40 million GJ in the Business As Usual (BAU) scenario in 2025 to 36 million GJ. This would be around a 9% decrease in fossil fuel dependency. This target will reduce emissions from a projected BAU of 2,988 Gg CO₂ eq. in 2025 to 2,734 Gg CO₂eq., which is around 8% decrease in emissions.  
• By 2030, increase sales of e-vehicles to cover 90% of all private passenger vehicle sales, including two-wheelers and 60% of all four-wheeler public passenger vehicle sales (the public passenger target does not take into account electric-rickshaws and electric-tempos). As a consequence, energy demand for fossil fuels will decrease from approximately 48 million GJ in the 2030 BAU scenario to 34.5 million GJ, which is around 28% decrease in fossil fuel dependency. This target will reduce emissions from a projected BAU of 3,640 Gg CO₂eq. in 2030 to 2,619 Gg CO₂ eq., which is around 28% decrease in emissions. 
• By 2030, develop 200 km of the electric rail network to support public commuting and mass transportation of goods.  

(Residential cooking and biogas) 

• By 2030, ensure 25% of households use electric stoves as their primary mode of cooking. 
• By 2025, install 500,000 improved cookstoves, specifically in rural areas. 
• By 2025, install an additional 200,000 household biogas plants and 500 large scale biogas plants (institutional/industrial/ municipal/community). 

These three combined targets can reduce emissions from approximately 1,999 Gg CO₂ eq. in BAU in 2025 to approximately 1,774 Gg CO₂ eq. This is around 11% reduction in emissions from the cooking sector. For 2030, these three targets can reduce emissions from approximately 2,064 Gg CO₂ eq. from BAU to 1,599 Gg CO₂ eq., which is around 23% reduction in emissions. 

AFOLU 

(Forestry) 

• By 2030, maintain 45% of the total area of the country under forest cover (including other wooded land limited to less than 4%). 
• By 2030, manage 50% of Tarai and Inner Tarai forests and 25% of middle hills and mountain forests sustainably, including through the use of funding from REDD+ initiatives. 

Waste  

 By 2025, 380 million litres/day of wastewater will be treated before being discharged, and 60,000 cubic meters/year of faecal sludge will be managed. These two activities will reduce around 258 Gg CO₂ eq. compared to BAU. 

Detailed Description of Mitigation Component of NDC^[1]      

1. Quantified information on the reference point, including, as appropriate, a base year 

a Reference year(s), base year(s), reference period(s) or other starting point(s) 

Nepal's NDC comprises of sectoral activity-based targets. As per the Greenhouse Gas Inventory, prepared for the Third National Communication (TNC), the net GHG emissions of 31,998.91 Gg CO₂ eq. was estimated for Nepal in the base year 2011. The direct GHG emission for the following sectors are:  

Energy: 14713.36 Gg CO₂ eq.  

IPPU: 379.80 Gg CO₂ eq.  

AFOLU: 15982.16 Gg CO₂ eq.  

Waste: 923.59 Gg CO₂ eq.  

b. Quantifiable information on the reference

Energy 

 Current total installed capacity for energy 

indicators, their values in the reference year(s), base year(s), reference period(s) or other starting point(s), and, as applicable, in the target year 

generation is approximately 1400MW, mainly from hydropower. Nepal categorizes mini and microhydropower (i.e. hydropower of less than 1MW capacity) and solar and wind as renewable energy.  

• Current energy demand satisfied by clean energy sources is well below 15%.  
• The current share of electric vehicles is approximately 1%. 
• The current rail network –a  reference not available  
• Currently, around 5% of households use electric induction stoves, either as their primary or secondary mode of cooking. 

Industry  

• Currently, emission standards are not in place for emissions in the brick and cement industries. 

Waste 

• Currently, 2.1 % of wastewater and less than 1% of the faecal sludge is treated. 

AFOLU 

(Forestry) 

• Nepal's 2016 NDC sets a target to maintain 40% of the total area of the country under forest cover. 
• Current forest cover is approximately 44.74% of which 4.38% is another wooded land (OWL). 

(Agriculture) 

• The current soil organic matter content of agricultural land is 2%. 
• The number of the organic fertilizer production plant is 23. 
• The number of improved cattle shed is 100,000.  

c. For strategies, plans and actions referred to in Article 4, paragraph 6, of the Paris Agreement, or policies and measures as components of nationally determined contributions where paragraph 1(b) above is not applicable, 

The targets in this section, unless specified, are all conditional upon international support and will be implemented by 2030. 

Energy 

• By 2030, increase the reliable supply of clean energy, ensuring access to all. 
• Increase the quantity (kWh), quality, reliability, and affordability of electricity access from 

Parties to provide other

relevant information 

renewable sources.  

• Strengthen transmission and distribution links to support upscaling of e-cooking, e-heating, etransport and charging stations. 
• Develop enabling environment to provide power to small and mid-size enterprises (SMEs) using distributed renewable energy generation sources. 
• Promote public electric mobility through policy incentives, including subsidy policies and other financial mechanisms. 
• By 2025, ensure at least three provinces operate electric public transport, three provinces establish vehicle fitness test centres to monitor and regulate vehicular emissions, and all metropolitan cities have roads paved with bicycle and pedestrian lanes. 

Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land use (AFOLU) (Forestry) 

• Forests under community-based management will comprise at least 60% of Nepal’s forest area; management committees will have 50% women representation and proportional representation of Dalits and Indigenous People in key posts.  
• By 2030, institutional mechanisms and structures in place and adequate provision of budget to ensure social and environmental safeguards including Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC); forest tenure and access to finance and technology for Local Communities, women and Indigenous People. 
• Ensure fair and equitable benefits (carbon and non-carbon) from sustainable forest management, watershed management, and biodiversityconservation among Local Communities, women and Indigenous People.  
• By 2030, upgrade watershed health and vitality in at least 20 districts to a higher condition category.  
• By 2030, create an inventory of wetlands in Nepal and sustainably manage vulnerable wetlands.  
• By 2025, enhance the sink capacity of the landuse sector by instituting the Forest Development 

Fund (FDF) for compensation of plantations and forest restoration. 

• Increase growing stock including Mean Annual Increment in Tarai, Hills and Mountains. 
• Afforest/reforest viable public and private lands, including agroforestry.  
• Restore and manage degraded forest land, including in the Chure region. 

(Agriculture) 

• By 2030, soil organic matter content of agriculture land will reach to 3.95%. 
• By 2030, mulberry and fruit orchard areas will be expanded to 6,000 ha.  
• By 2030, the number of additional improved cattle sheds will reach to 5,00,000 for quality farm-yard manure production and use.  
• By 2030, the number of organic fertilizer production plants in the country will reach 100.  
• Integrate climate change in the upcoming revised Agriculture Policy. 
• By 2025, update the Rangeland Policy and develop plans for the sustainable management of rangelands. 
• By 2030, establish 200 climate-smart villages and 500 climate-smart farms. 
• Promote intercropping, agroforestry, conservation tillage, and livestock and agricultural waste management.  
• Ensure increased access of climate-smart agricultural technologies to women, Indigenous People, smallholder farmers and marginalized groups. 
• Protect, promote and support climate-resilient indigenous seeds/crop varieties through community seed banks and national gene banks.  

Industry  

• By 2030, adopt low emission technologies in brick and cement industries to reduce coal consumption and air pollution, including through the development and/or enactment of emission 

standards. 

• By 2025, formulate guidelines and establish mechanisms to monitor emissions from large industries.  

Waste 

• By 2030, create an enabling environment for both public and private sector to treat industrial and municipal waste, including faecal sludge. 
• By 2030, adopt and implement waste segregation, recycling and waste-to-energy programs in at least 100 municipalities. 
• By 2030, the burning of healthcare waste in 1,400 healthcare facilities will be prohibited by proper management of healthcare waste through the application of non-burn technologies.  
• Promote the 3Rs (Reduce, Reuse, Recycle) approach to waste management, along with source segregation and management of degradable and non-degradable waste.  
• Focus on co-production of energy and organic fertilizer from solid waste, wastewater and faecal sludge.  

Other Relevant Targets  

(Tourism) 

• By 2025, formulate and implement nature-based tourism plans in at least five main tourist destinations. 
• By 2030, ensure at least five tourist destinations are carbon neutral. 
• By 2030, including measures in policies to offset the carbon footprint of emissions resulting from tourism transport. 

(Urban Settlements) 

• Adopt national building codes and prepare Integrated Urban Development Plans (IUDPs) emphasizing low carbon and climate-resilient urban settlements in all municipalities. 
• By 2025, revise the urban environment management guidelines to incorporate activities 

related to promoting low carbon and climateresilient urban settlements. 

Gender Equality and Social Inclusion (GESI) 

By 2030, develop an Action Plan for integrating GESI in achieving NDC targets. 

• Develop specific programs with dedicated resources (human and financial) to ensure full, equal and meaningful participation of women, children, youth, Indigenous Peoples and marginalized groups in climate change-related policy development; and during the planning, monitoring and implementation processes at local, provincial and national levels.  
• Promote the leadership, participation and negotiation capacity of women, Indigenous Peoples and youth in climate change forums. 
• Ensure gender-disaggregated data when reporting on progress and achievements. 

d. Target relative to the reference indicator, expressed numerically, for example in percentage or amount of reduction 

See NDC and section 1b.

e. Information on sources of data used in quantifying the reference point(s) 

Greenhouse Gas Inventory prepared for the Third National Communication.  

f. Information on the circumstances under which the Party may update the values of the reference indicators 

In the next Greenhouse Gas Inventory, Nepal may update the reference indicators of existing sectors and/or may provide new values for sectors not previously covered. Nepal will update the values of reference indicators in such cases. 

2. Time frames and/or periods for implementation

a. Time frame and/or period for implementation, including start and end date, consistent with any further relevant decision adopted by the CMA;  

From 1^st January 2021- 31^st December 2030. 

b. Whether it is a singleyear or multi-yeartarget, as applicable.  

Single year target – 2030, including updates on 2025 targets.  

3. Scope and coverage

a. General description of the target;

Sectoral activity-based and policy targets, including emissions reduction in some sectors.  

The Government of Nepal will meet unconditional targets from its resources.  

Conditional targets are dependent on international support on financing, technology transfer and/or capacity building.  

b. Sectors, gases, categories and poolscovered by the nationally determined contribution, including, as applicable, consistent with IPCC 

guidelines;  

Sectors: 

• Energy  o Electricity generation 
  • Transportation 
  • Residential demand (energy demand for cooking)
  • Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use (AFOLU) oDeforestation and forest degradation o Agriculture 
  • Industrial process and product use (IPPU) 
  • Waste 

Gases:  

• Carbon Dioxide (CO₂) 
• Methane (CH₄) 

 Nitrous Oxide (N₂O) 

c. How the Party has taken into consideration paragraphs 31(c) and (d)of decision 1/CP.21; 

The detailed assessment carried out during the NDC formulation process concluded that the data needed to define targets and to rigorously assess the impact of policies and actions on emissions for all sectors was not available. 

Nepal will extend the scope of the coverage of its NDC overtime to all categories of anthropogenic emissions and removals, as more robust data becomes available.   

d. Mitigation co-benefits resulting from Parties’ adaptation actions and/or economic diversification plans, including a description of specific projects, measures and initiatives of Parties’ adaptation actions and/or economic diversification plans.  

Not applicable. 

4. Planning process

a. Information on the planning processes that the Party undertook to prepare its NDC and, if available, on the Party’s implementation plans, including, as appropriate:  

     i.          Domestic 

institutional 

arrangements, public participation and engagement 

                 with              local 

communities and indigenous people,   in         a

genderresponsive manner;  

The NDC was developed through an inclusive and participatory process, with a series of consultations at national and provincial levels. 

Nepal’s NDC formulation was a country-driven process following the principle of Leave No One Behind (LNOB). A team of experts reviewed overarching and sectoral policies, strategies and programs; and coordinated the process of gathering data and performing analysis.  These assessments were later verified through in-person and virtual consultations both at national and provincial levels with line ministries, experts, Local Peoples, women, Indigenous Peoples and youth. 

The reviewed targets served as inputs for the technical work, such as the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) modelling for building scenarios and projections. The output of the technical work and inputs from consultations were further reviewed and verified by the NDC Working Committee, established by the Ministry of 

Forests and Environment and comprising representatives from government agencies and relevant experts. Furthermore, the NDC was discussed at the Inter-Ministerial Coordination Committee on Climate Change (IMCCCC) and shared with respective line ministries and civil society organizations for formal input. Finally, it was submitted to the Cabinet for approval. 

ii. Contextual matters, including, inter alia, as appropriate:  

(a) National circumstances, such as geography, climate, economy, 

sustainable 

        development          and 

poverty eradication; 

Nepal is a landlocked country that lies in the southern face of the Himalayan mountain range. The country is located between 26⁰ 22' and 30⁰ 27' North latitude and 80⁰ 04' and 88⁰ 12' East longitude and covers an area of 147,181 square kilometres. Physiographic regions within the country include High Himal, High Mountain, Middle Mountain, Siwalik, and the Tarai. Within these regions, elevations range from 59 meters to 8,848 meters.  

Nepal’s climate is influenced by the Himalayan mountain range and the South Asian Monsoon. The climate has four distinct seasons: pre-monsoon (March-May), monsoon (June-September), post-monsoon (OctoberNovember) and winter (December-February).  

Nepal is a Least Developed Country (LDC) whose economy mostly depends on agriculture and remittances. Nepal’s per capita GDP was USD 1,085 in the fiscal year 2019/2020 with a growth rate of 7.5% from the last fiscal year. However, the impact of COVID19 is already bringing these numbers down. 

In the past two decades, the proportion of Nepali people living in absolute material poverty has more than halved from 49% in 1992 to 23% in 2015. Rates of child and maternal mortality reduced significantly as well. Primary school enrolment now exceeds 96% and has gender parity. Average life expectancy at birth has crossed 70 years. Nepal’s pace of development has been one of the highest in the world. The latest Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) shows that 28.6% of the population is still low. This means their lives are impacted by several deprivations simultaneously. However, It also reveals that Nepal halved its official MPI between 2006 and 2014. 

Building on the relative success of the Millennium Development Goals, Nepal is committed to pursuing and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030, including the target set by the Sendai Framework on Disaster Risk Reduction. These global ambitions are broadly aligned with the social, economic, environmental and risk reduction aspirations that Nepal has set for itself in its new constitution.  

(b) Best practicesand experience related to the preparation of the NDC;  

See above 4 (a, i) 

(c) Other contextual aspirations and 

priorities 

acknowledged when joining the Paris 

Agreement;  

The provision in the Paris Agreement to limit global average temperature rise to 1.5°C results in lower risks for Nepal when compared to 2°C or higher temperatures  

Nepal’s commitment to reduce national GHG emission levels will require international support on financing, technology transfer and/or capacity building.  

Furthermore, Nepal aspires to avoid the residual risks caused by Loss and Damage and to receive financial and any other support for the risks that may still materialize. 

b. 

 Specific     information 

Not applicable.  

applicable to Parties, including regional economic integration organizations and their member States, that have reached an agreement to act jointly under Article 4, paragraph 2, of the Paris Agreement, including the Parties that agreed to act jointly and the terms of the agreement, in accordance with Article 4, paragraphs 16–18, of the 

Paris Agreement; 

c. How the Party’s preparation of its NDC has been informed by the outcomes of the global stocktake, in accordance with Article 4, paragraph 9, of the Paris Agreement;  

The first global stocktake will take place in 2023. 

Nepal organized the Talanoa Dialogue in 2018, which generated political momentum for enhanced climate action, including a call for Parties to update their NDCs. 

Nepal’s new NDC is more ambitious than its previous one, both in terms of its sectoral coverage (through the inclusion of land-use change and forestry, energy, and waste) and in terms of its net emission reduction contribution. 

d. Each Party with an NDC under Article 4 of the Paris Agreement that consists of adaptation action and/or economic diversification plans resulting in mitigation co-benefitsconsistent with Article 4, paragraph 7, of the Paris Agreement to submit information on:  

Not Applicable.  

i.          How    the economic       and     social consequences          of response      measureshave been considered in developing the NDC; 

Not Applicable.  

ii.         Specific projects, measures and activities         to         be implemented to contribute 

Not Applicable. 

to mitigation co-benefits, including information on adaptation plans that also yield mitigation co-

benefits, which may cover, but are not limited to, key sectors, such as energy, resources, water resources, coastal resources, human settlements and urban planning, agriculture and forestry; and economic diversification actions, which may cover, but are not limited to, sectors such as manufacturing and industry, energy and mining, transport and communication, construction, tourism, real estate, agriculture and fisheries. 

5. Assumptions and methodological approaches, including those for estimating and accounting for anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and, as appropriate, removals:

 a.       Assumptions       and 

methodological 

approaches used for accounting for 

anthropogenic 

greenhouse gas emissions and removalscorresponding to the 

Party’s nationally determined contribution, consistent with decision 1/CP.21, paragraph 31, and accounting guidance adopted by the CMA; 

Nepal will account for its anthropogenic GHG emissions and removals using the 2006 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories.  

Two additional guidelines will be considered for quality assurance:  

• The        IPCC Good Practice         Guidance    and 

            Uncertainty     Management     in     National     GHG 

Inventory (2000) 

• The IPCC Good Practice Guideline for Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry (2003). 

 b.       Assumptions       and 

methodological 

approaches used for accounting for the implementation of policies and measures or strategies in the 

See 5(a) above.  

Nepal will also apply specific assumptions and methodologies where relevant when accounting for various policies and measures in its Biennial Update Report, Biennial Transparency Report, or National Communication.  

 nationally          determined 

contribution;  

c. If applicable, information on how the Party will take into account existing methods and guidanceunder the Convention to account for anthropogenic emissions and removals, in accordance with Article 4, paragraph 14, of the Paris Agreement, as 

appropriate;  

See 5 (a) above. 

The IPCC 2006 Guidelines has been used to calculate emissions in the GHG Inventory of Nepal’s Third National Communication.  

d. IPCC methodologies and metrics used for estimating anthropogenic greenhouse gas 

emissions and removals; 

See 5(a) above.  

Nepal’s emissions will be derived by using the Tier 1 (and in a few cases Tier II) methodologies of the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. 

e. Sector-, category- or 

activity-specific

assumptions, 

methodologies          and approaches   consistent with IPCC guidance, as appropriate, including, as applicable:  

Due to limited data availability, not all sectors are covered in Nepal’s NDC. In the future, Nepal would like to update its emission inventories, develop emission factors for all sectors following the 2006 IPCC guidelines, carry out modelling to build sector-specific scenarios and projections, establish a mechanism to collect, store and maintain datasets and account for conditional targets that require financial, capacity building and technical support. 

i.            Approach            to addressing emissions and subsequent removals from natural disturbances on managed lands;  

See (e) above. 

ii. Approach used to account for emissions and             removals        from harvested     wood 

products;  

Not applicable. 

iii. Approach used to address the effects of age-class      structure             in 

forests;  

Not applicable. 

f. Other assumptions and methodological approaches used for understanding the nationally determined 

contribution and, if applicable, estimating corresponding emissions and removals, including:  

i. How the reference indicators, baseline(s) and/or reference level(s), including, where applicable, sector-, category- or activityspecific reference levels, are constructed, including, for example, key parameters, assumptions, definitions, 

 methodologies,            data 

sources and models used;  

Not applicable. 

ii. For Parties with nationally       determined contributions that contain non-greenhouse-gas components, information on       assumptions and 

methodological 

approaches used in relation to those components, as 

applicable;  

Not applicable. 

iii.        For             climate forcers             included         in nationally       determined contributions not covered by        IPCC guidelines, information on how the climate           forcers            are 

estimated;  

Not applicable. 

iv.        Further technical information, as necessary;  

Not applicable. 

g. The intention to usevoluntary cooperation under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, if applicable. 

Nepal may explore potential markets that allow higher mitigation ambition while promoting sustainable development and environmental integrity.  

6. How the Party considers that its NDC is fair and ambitious in light of its 

national circumstances  

a. How the Party considers that its NDC is fair and ambitious in the light of its national 

circumstances; 

Nepal is a Least Developed Country with an insignificant contribution to past and current global emissions. Nevertheless, Nepal recognizes that to meet the 1.5°C temperature goal, all countries need to undertake ambitious mitigation actions. This NDC and accompanying information reflect Nepal’s commitment under the Paris Agreement to address climate change.  

b.         Fairness considerations, including reflecting on equity;  

See above, 6 (a). 

c. How the Party has addressed Article 4, paragraph 3, of the Paris Agreement;  

This NDC broadens the ambition of the 2016 NDC, both in terms of sectoral coverage and net emission reduction contribution.  

d. How the Party has addressed Article 4, paragraph 4, of the Paris 

Agreement;  

In addition to the sectoral activity-based targets for transport, cooking, forestry and waste sectors, the 2020 NDC also includes policy targets for sectors where data and/or baseline information is not available such as for electric railroads, solid waste management and industries. This paves the way for Nepal to establish an economy-wide emissions target, based on national circumstances and capabilities.  

e. How the Party has addressed Article 4, paragraph 6, of the Paris Agreement.  

In addition to sectoral activity-based targets, Nepal’s 2020 NDC also includes policy targets (See section 1(d)) for areas where data and/or baseline information is not available. These areas include electric railroads, solid waste management and industries.  

7. How the NDC contributes towards achieving the objectives of the Convention as set out in its Article 2

a. How the NDC contributes towards achieving the objective of the Convention as set out 

in its Article 2; 

See above, 6 (a). 

b. How the NDC contributes towards Article 2, paragraph 1(a), and Article 4, paragraph 1, of the Paris Agreement.  

See above, 6 (a) and 7(a).